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Trader leaderboard/urakan

urakan

0xcc7cc758832741d13ad773e7074215922e354ce2
PnL (30d)
−$7
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$94
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
66%
119W / 61L · 58 open
Win Return (30d)
66%
148W / 77L · 13 open
Trades (30d)
238
across 121 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.08
avg win $15 · loss $27
Profit Factor
0.99
$802 won / $809 lost
Reward / Risk
0.56
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$47
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,263 · all-time $424,146

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 66.1% 119W/61L 121 $11,156
🏛 Politics 17.6% 3W/14L 13 $763
🎬 Culture 8.3% 1W/11L 11 $212
💵 Economy 100.0% 2W/0L 5 $120
⚽ Sports 100.0% 2W/0L 4 $176
₿ Crypto 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $50
🤖 Tech 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $30

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

33 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Claude go down 14+ times in August? No 169 0.967 $162.98 $12.98 +8.7%
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $600B by August 31? No 125 0.875 $109.38 $19.38 +21.5%
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by August 31? No 123 0.858 $105.25 $5.25 +5.3%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $300B by December 31? No 110 0.935 $102.75 $2.75 +2.7%
Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? No 86 0.964 $82.75 $12.34 +17.5%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by August 31? No 70 0.915 $64.42 $14.42 +28.8%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 81 0.785 $63.31 $13.31 +26.6%
Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 150m by August 31? No 55 0.993 $54.56 $4.56 +9.1%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in August? No 60 0.885 $52.68 $2.68 +5.4%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 64 0.815 $52.24 $2.24 +4.5%
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026? Yes 55 0.865 $47.91 $7.91 +19.8%
Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 140m by August 31? No 48 0.990 $47.90 $17.90 +59.7%
Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 31? Yes 58 0.825 $47.84 $-2.16 -4.3%
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31? No 53 0.820 $43.32 $23.32 +116.6%
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? Yes 68 0.635 $43.29 $-6.71 -13.4%
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 35 by August 31? No 106 0.385 $40.96 $-9.04 -18.1%
Will $ANSEM reach $0.8 before 2027? No 45 0.905 $40.85 $15.85 +63.4%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 67 0.535 $36.11 $6.11 +20.4%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? No 34 0.930 $32.07 $12.07 +60.3%
Will Siler Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo) No 30 0.780 $23.22 $-2.28 -8.9%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by August 31? No 34 0.640 $21.62 $-8.38 -27.9%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 31 0.685 $21.41 $1.41 +7.0%
Will Anthropic reset Claude usage limit by August 31? Yes 36 0.490 $17.50 $-12.50 -41.7%
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k? Yes 42 0.405 $17.11 $-12.89 -43.0%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31? No 67 0.225 $15.12 $0.12 +0.8%