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Trader leaderboard/urakan

urakan

0xcc7cc758832741d13ad773e7074215922e354ce2
Scoped to Tech — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$115
Tech · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+79.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
2W / 0L · 3 open
Win Return (30d)
100%
5W / 0L
Trades (30d)
5
across 4 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$57.57
avg win $58
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,338 · all-time $424,221

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 66.1% 119W/61L 121 $11,156
🏛 Politics 10.0% 1W/9L 6 $676
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/6L 5 $175
💵 Economy 100.0% 1W/0L 4 $70
⚽ Sports 100.0% 2W/0L 3 $166

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

35 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Claude go down 14+ times in August? No 169 0.917 $154.63 $4.63 +3.1%
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $600B by August 31? No 125 0.875 $109.38 $19.38 +21.5%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $300B by December 31? No 110 0.935 $102.75 $2.75 +2.7%
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by August 31? No 123 0.831 $101.88 $1.88 +1.9%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by August 31? No 70 0.915 $64.42 $14.42 +28.8%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 70 0.785 $55.08 $11.58 +26.6%
Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 150m by August 31? No 55 0.981 $53.90 $3.90 +7.8%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 64 0.835 $53.53 $3.53 +7.1%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in August? No 60 0.895 $53.27 $3.27 +6.5%
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026? Yes 55 0.865 $47.91 $7.91 +19.8%
Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 140m by August 31? No 48 0.990 $47.90 $17.90 +59.7%
Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 31? Yes 58 0.825 $47.84 $-2.16 -4.3%
Ukraine strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 8, 2026? No 88 0.540 $47.37 $-2.63 -5.3%
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 35 by August 31? No 106 0.415 $44.15 $-5.85 -11.7%
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31? No 53 0.830 $43.84 $23.84 +119.2%
Will $ANSEM reach $0.8 before 2027? No 45 0.900 $40.62 $15.62 +62.5%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 67 0.540 $36.44 $6.44 +21.5%
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? Yes 51 0.650 $33.23 $-4.27 -11.4%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? No 34 0.900 $31.03 $11.03 +55.2%
Will Siler Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo) No 30 0.785 $23.37 $-2.13 -8.4%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 31 0.705 $22.03 $2.03 +10.2%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by August 31? No 34 0.640 $21.62 $-8.38 -27.9%
Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? No 21 0.965 $20.70 $3.10 +17.6%
Will Anthropic reset Claude usage limit by August 31? Yes 36 0.490 $17.50 $-12.50 -41.7%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31? No 67 0.225 $15.12 $0.12 +0.8%