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Trader leaderboard/urakan

urakan

0xcc7cc758832741d13ad773e7074215922e354ce2
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$24
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$18
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
61%
28W / 18L · 16 open
Win Return (30d)
60%
30W / 20L · 12 open
Trades (30d)
62
across 29 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$1.21
avg win $5 · loss $8
Profit Factor
0.67
$50 won / $74 lost
Reward / Risk
0.55
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$28
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,263 · all-time $424,146

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 66.1% 119W/61L 121 $11,156
🏛 Politics 10.0% 1W/9L 6 $676
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/6L 5 $175
💵 Economy 100.0% 1W/0L 4 $70
⚽ Sports 100.0% 2W/0L 3 $166

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

33 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Claude go down 14+ times in August? No 169 0.914 $154.04 $4.04 +2.7%
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $600B by August 31? No 125 0.875 $109.38 $19.38 +21.5%
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by August 31? No 123 0.868 $106.42 $6.42 +6.4%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $300B by December 31? No 110 0.935 $102.75 $2.75 +2.7%
Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? No 86 0.964 $82.70 $12.29 +17.5%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by August 31? No 70 0.915 $64.42 $14.42 +28.8%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 81 0.785 $63.31 $13.31 +26.6%
Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 150m by August 31? No 55 0.990 $54.40 $4.40 +8.8%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 64 0.835 $53.53 $3.53 +7.1%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in August? No 60 0.895 $53.27 $3.27 +6.5%
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026? Yes 55 0.865 $47.91 $7.91 +19.8%
Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 140m by August 31? No 48 0.990 $47.90 $17.90 +59.7%
Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 31? Yes 58 0.825 $47.84 $-2.16 -4.3%
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? Yes 68 0.655 $44.65 $-5.35 -10.7%
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31? No 53 0.830 $43.84 $23.84 +119.2%
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 35 by August 31? No 106 0.390 $41.49 $-8.51 -17.0%
Will $ANSEM reach $0.8 before 2027? No 45 0.905 $40.85 $15.85 +63.4%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 67 0.539 $36.38 $6.38 +21.3%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? No 34 0.895 $30.86 $10.86 +54.3%
Will Siler Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo) No 30 0.780 $23.22 $-2.28 -8.9%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 31 0.695 $21.72 $1.72 +8.6%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by August 31? No 34 0.635 $21.45 $-8.55 -28.5%
Will Anthropic reset Claude usage limit by August 31? Yes 36 0.490 $17.50 $-12.50 -41.7%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31? No 67 0.225 $15.12 $0.12 +0.8%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? Yes 37 0.395 $14.45 $-0.55 -3.7%