Log in
Trader leaderboard/Quaid281

Quaid281

0xcb6ffcd138ea263162d731c3daedf9e194d4f414
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$10
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$4
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-5.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
69%
61W / 28L · 7 open
Win Return (30d)
68%
65W / 31L
Trades (30d)
96
across 51 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.23
avg win $2 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.80
$40 won / $51 lost
Reward / Risk
0.80
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$8
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,697 · all-time $78,803

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 60.1% 570W/379L 547 $3,529
⚽ Sports 56.2% 54W/42L 61 $517
🌤 Weather 81.0% 51W/12L 37 $216
₿ Crypto 50.9% 27W/26L 27 $146

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

45 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? Yes 20 0.486 $9.73 $3.62 +59.2%
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? Yes 17 0.350 $5.93 $-0.34 -5.4%
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%? Yes 61 0.087 $5.33 $0.90 +20.3%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? No 5 1.000 $5.00 $2.30 +85.1%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 5? Yes 5 1.000 $5.00 $2.70 +117.3%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 5? No 5 1.000 $5.00 $2.05 +69.4%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 5? No 5 1.000 $5.00 $2.35 +88.6%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 5? No 5 1.000 $5.00 $2.25 +81.7%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 5? No 5 1.000 $5.00 $2.50 +99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 5? No 5 1.000 $5.00 $2.50 +99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 5? No 5 0.998 $4.99 $2.49 +99.6%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 5? No 5 0.995 $4.97 $2.52 +103.0%
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? Yes 17 0.255 $4.44 $-4.65 -51.1%
Solana Up or Down - August 5, 7AM ET Down 5 0.795 $3.98 $1.48 +59.0%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 5? No 5 0.775 $3.88 $1.38 +55.0%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 5? No 5 0.765 $3.83 $1.57 +70.0%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? Yes 10 0.344 $3.36 $-1.46 -30.3%
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%? Yes 5 0.643 $3.22 $-0.06 -1.8%
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 5.50%? Yes 81 0.040 $3.20 $-8.69 -73.1%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 6? No 5 0.595 $2.97 $-0.03 -0.8%
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%? Yes 13 0.220 $2.95 $-7.32 -71.2%
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes 13 0.205 $2.70 $-5.86 -68.5%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 6? No 5 0.485 $2.42 $-0.17 -6.7%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 6? No 5 0.475 $2.38 $-0.12 -5.0%
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? Yes 24 0.096 $2.31 $-7.18 -75.7%