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Trader leaderboard/Quaid281

Quaid281

0xcb6ffcd138ea263162d731c3daedf9e194d4f414
PnL (30d)
−$43
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
60%
569W / 379L · 67 open
Win Return (30d)
60%
580W / 393L · 42 open
Trades (30d)
1,015
across 547 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.08
avg win $2 · loss $3
Profit Factor
0.93
$584 won / $627 lost
Reward / Risk
0.90
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$91
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,667 · all-time $78,773

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 60.0% 569W/379L 547 $3,529
⚽ Sports 57.4% 58W/43L 65 $549
🌤 Weather 81.5% 53W/12L 37 $218
₿ Crypto 50.8% 33W/32L 33 $173

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

47 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? Yes 20 0.486 $9.73 $3.62 +59.2%
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? Yes 17 0.375 $6.35 $0.08 +1.4%
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%? Yes 61 0.098 $5.99 $1.55 +35.0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? No 5 1.000 $5.00 $2.30 +85.1%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 5? Yes 5 1.000 $5.00 $2.70 +117.3%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 5? No 5 1.000 $5.00 $2.35 +88.6%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 5? No 5 1.000 $5.00 $2.25 +81.7%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 5? No 5 1.000 $5.00 $2.50 +99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 5? No 5 1.000 $5.00 $2.50 +99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 5? No 5 0.996 $4.98 $2.03 +68.7%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 5? No 5 0.995 $4.97 $2.47 +98.9%
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? Yes 17 0.255 $4.44 $-4.65 -51.1%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 5? No 5 0.800 $4.00 $1.55 +63.3%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? Yes 10 0.335 $3.26 $-1.56 -32.3%
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 5.50%? Yes 81 0.040 $3.24 $-8.65 -72.7%
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%? Yes 5 0.643 $3.22 $-0.06 -1.8%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 5? No 5 0.605 $3.02 $0.77 +34.4%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 6? No 5 0.605 $3.02 $0.02 +0.8%
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%? Yes 13 0.220 $2.95 $-7.32 -71.2%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 5? No 5 0.580 $2.90 $0.40 +16.0%
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes 13 0.205 $2.70 $-5.86 -68.5%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5? No 5 0.525 $2.62 $0.62 +31.2%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 6AM ET Down 5 0.515 $2.58 $-0.07 -2.8%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 6? No 5 0.485 $2.42 $-0.07 -3.0%
XRP Up or Down - August 5, 6AM ET Down 5 0.475 $2.38 $0.07 +3.3%