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Trader leaderboard/Quaid281

Quaid281

0xcb6ffcd138ea263162d731c3daedf9e194d4f414
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$14
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
61%
185W / 117L · 31 open
Win Return (30d)
61%
185W / 120L · 28 open
Trades (30d)
333
across 173 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.09
avg win $3 · loss $3
Profit Factor
0.94
$220 won / $234 lost
Reward / Risk
0.83
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$54
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,727 · all-time $78,803

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 60.0% 573W/382L 572 $3,590
⚽ Sports 56.2% 54W/42L 61 $517
🌤 Weather 81.0% 51W/12L 39 $221
₿ Crypto 50.0% 28W/28L 32 $158

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

45 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? Yes 20 0.486 $9.73 $3.62 +59.2%
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? Yes 17 0.365 $6.18 $-0.08 -1.4%
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%? Yes 61 0.099 $6.08 $1.64 +37.0%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 5? No 5 1.000 $5.00 $2.55 +104.0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? No 5 1.000 $5.00 $2.30 +85.1%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 10AM ET Down 5 1.000 $5.00 $2.30 +85.1%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 5? Yes 5 1.000 $5.00 $2.70 +117.3%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 5? No 5 1.000 $5.00 $2.05 +69.4%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 5? No 5 1.000 $5.00 $2.35 +88.6%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 5? No 5 1.000 $5.00 $2.25 +81.7%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 5? No 5 1.000 $5.00 $2.50 +99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 5? No 5 1.000 $5.00 $2.50 +99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 5? No 5 0.998 $4.99 $2.74 +121.7%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 5? No 5 0.996 $4.98 $2.48 +99.2%
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? Yes 17 0.255 $4.44 $-4.65 -51.1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11AM ET Up 5 0.735 $3.67 $1.42 +63.3%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? Yes 10 0.344 $3.35 $-1.47 -30.5%
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 5.50%? Yes 81 0.040 $3.24 $-8.65 -72.7%
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%? Yes 5 0.643 $3.22 $-0.06 -1.8%
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%? Yes 13 0.220 $2.95 $-7.32 -71.2%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 6? No 5 0.575 $2.88 $-0.12 -4.2%
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes 13 0.205 $2.70 $-5.86 -68.5%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 6? No 5 0.525 $2.62 $0.02 +1.0%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 6? No 5 0.505 $2.52 $0.02 +1.0%
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? Yes 24 0.096 $2.31 $-7.18 -75.7%