| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 5? |
No |
200 |
0.905 |
$181.00 |
$37.60 |
+26.2% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
97 |
0.925 |
$89.72 |
$16.12 |
+21.9% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
127 |
0.645 |
$82.00 |
$78.03 |
+1964.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
No |
111 |
0.665 |
$74.09 |
$0.72 |
+1.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 6? |
No |
80 |
0.895 |
$71.60 |
$3.60 |
+5.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
No |
150 |
0.475 |
$71.25 |
$8.17 |
+13.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 6? |
No |
80 |
0.870 |
$69.60 |
$1.60 |
+2.4% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? |
No |
151 |
0.440 |
$66.40 |
$4.53 |
+7.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 5? |
No |
60 |
0.990 |
$59.40 |
$6.60 |
+12.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 5? |
No |
77 |
0.735 |
$56.95 |
$-11.06 |
-16.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 5? |
No |
53 |
1.000 |
$52.78 |
$12.88 |
+32.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
86 |
0.580 |
$49.97 |
$3.39 |
+7.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
220 |
0.205 |
$45.10 |
$-105.10 |
-70.0% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? |
No |
80 |
0.500 |
$40.00 |
$-1.20 |
-2.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 5? |
No |
39 |
1.000 |
$38.77 |
$4.64 |
+13.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 5? |
No |
39 |
0.945 |
$37.26 |
$2.17 |
+6.2% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
59 |
0.635 |
$37.25 |
$35.16 |
+1678.0% |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
777 |
0.046 |
$36.13 |
$13.28 |
+58.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 5? |
Yes |
36 |
1.000 |
$35.81 |
$32.55 |
+999.4% |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? |
No |
40 |
0.885 |
$35.40 |
$1.20 |
+3.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 6? |
No |
40 |
0.855 |
$34.20 |
$0.60 |
+1.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on August 6? |
No |
40 |
0.855 |
$34.20 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 5? |
No |
35 |
0.960 |
$33.30 |
$3.11 |
+10.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 5? |
Yes |
33 |
1.000 |
$32.98 |
$29.98 |
+999.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 5? |
No |
52 |
0.605 |
$31.70 |
$-10.62 |
-25.1% |