Log in
Trader leaderboard/KickstandBot

KickstandBot

0xca1f9b9d67d947c8007d9814e8f9d6045cccd282
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$48
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$15
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+3.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
64%
61W / 35L · 200 open
Win Return (30d)
64%
190W / 106L
Trades (30d)
296
across 93 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$1.61
avg win $7 · loss $7
Profit Factor
1.62
$126 won / $78 lost
Reward / Risk
0.94
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$25
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $26,631 · all-time $537,281

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 66.7% 5,152W/2,568L 4022 $109,066
🌤 Weather 61.5% 335W/210L 211 $6,234
⚽ Sports 67.2% 119W/58L 135 $2,395
🏛 Politics 66.7% 16W/8L 52 $1,547
🎬 Culture 61.1% 11W/7L 27 $779
💵 Economy 58.3% 7W/5L 25 $628
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/2L 7 $111
₿ Crypto 100.0% 5W/0L 6 $122
🔬 Science 3 $254

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

199 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 5? No 200 0.925 $185.00 $41.60 +29.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No 97 0.920 $89.24 $15.64 +21.2%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 127 0.645 $82.00 $78.03 +1964.0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 5? No 77 0.985 $76.28 $8.27 +12.2%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No 111 0.665 $74.09 $0.72 +1.0%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No 150 0.475 $71.25 $8.17 +13.0%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 6? No 80 0.855 $68.40 $0.40 +0.6%
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No 151 0.440 $66.40 $4.53 +7.3%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 106 0.573 $60.78 $2.21 +3.8%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 5? No 53 1.000 $52.78 $12.88 +32.3%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 5? No 52 1.000 $52.37 $10.05 +23.8%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5? Yes 41 0.999 $40.94 $37.21 +998.4%
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No 80 0.500 $40.00 $-1.20 -2.9%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 5? No 39 1.000 $38.98 $4.66 +13.6%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 5? No 39 1.000 $38.77 $4.64 +13.6%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 59 0.640 $37.54 $35.45 +1692.0%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 5? No 39 0.945 $37.26 $2.17 +6.2%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on August 6? No 40 0.930 $37.20 $3.00 +8.8%
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 777 0.046 $35.74 $12.89 +56.4%
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No 40 0.885 $35.40 $1.20 +3.5%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 6? No 40 0.855 $34.20 $0.60 +1.8%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? No 220 0.155 $34.10 $-116.10 -77.3%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 5? No 35 0.965 $33.48 $3.29 +10.9%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 5? Yes 33 1.000 $32.98 $29.98 +999.5%
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-08-05? No 40 0.785 $31.40 $-0.60 -1.9%