| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 5? |
No |
160 |
0.825 |
$132.00 |
$22.20 |
+20.2% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
97 |
0.930 |
$90.21 |
$16.61 |
+22.6% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
127 |
0.645 |
$82.00 |
$78.03 |
+1964.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
No |
111 |
0.665 |
$74.09 |
$0.72 |
+1.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
No |
150 |
0.485 |
$72.75 |
$9.67 |
+15.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 6? |
No |
80 |
0.900 |
$72.00 |
$4.00 |
+5.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 6? |
No |
80 |
0.870 |
$69.60 |
$1.60 |
+2.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 5? |
No |
77 |
0.865 |
$67.02 |
$-0.99 |
-1.5% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? |
No |
151 |
0.440 |
$66.40 |
$4.53 |
+7.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 5? |
No |
60 |
0.975 |
$58.50 |
$5.70 |
+10.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 5? |
No |
53 |
0.999 |
$52.73 |
$12.83 |
+32.1% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
220 |
0.195 |
$42.90 |
$-107.30 |
-71.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 5? |
No |
52 |
0.775 |
$40.61 |
$-1.71 |
-4.0% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? |
No |
80 |
0.500 |
$40.00 |
$-1.20 |
-2.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 5? |
No |
39 |
1.000 |
$38.77 |
$4.64 |
+13.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 5? |
No |
39 |
0.930 |
$36.67 |
$1.58 |
+4.5% |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
777 |
0.046 |
$36.13 |
$13.28 |
+58.1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
59 |
0.615 |
$36.08 |
$33.98 |
+1622.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 5? |
Yes |
36 |
1.000 |
$35.81 |
$32.55 |
+999.4% |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? |
No |
40 |
0.885 |
$35.40 |
$1.20 |
+3.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 5? |
No |
35 |
0.975 |
$33.82 |
$3.64 |
+12.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 6? |
No |
40 |
0.835 |
$33.40 |
$-0.20 |
-0.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 5? |
Yes |
33 |
1.000 |
$32.98 |
$29.98 |
+999.5% |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? |
No |
60 |
0.500 |
$30.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? |
No |
34 |
0.825 |
$27.98 |
$17.03 |
+155.4% |