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Trader leaderboard/predictiondiablo

predictiondiablo

0xc9db23c5d9f7b86628474bcb74539b92c3b56789
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$622
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$158
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
34%
373W / 712L · 43 open
Win Return (30d)
35%
391W / 717L · 20 open
Trades (30d)
1,128
across 437 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$1.48
avg win $103 · loss $87
Profit Factor
0.97
$19,510 won / $20,132 lost
Reward / Risk
1.19
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2,589
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $46,225 · all-time $1,356,356

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 37.3% 529W/891L 575 $198,742
⚽ Sports 50.0% 101W/101L 92 $51,998
🎬 Culture 60.0% 3W/2L 4 $402
💵 Economy 100.0% 1W/0L 2 $122
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/2L 2 $8

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

56 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Lyon win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? No 365 0.985 $358.91 $104.08 +40.8%
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05? No 308 0.987 $303.83 $119.04 +64.4%
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31? No 289 0.920 $265.49 $41.99 +18.8%
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06? Yes 176 0.971 $170.78 $54.32 +46.6%
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31? No 235 0.580 $136.17 $-9.44 -6.5%
Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? No 160 0.825 $131.94 $31.19 +31.0%
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? No 373 0.325 $121.25 $-0.32 -0.3%
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No 141 0.785 $110.62 $11.98 +12.1%
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No 105 0.675 $70.68 $41.51 +142.3%
Will the Colorado Rockies have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season? No 54 0.999 $54.29 $7.65 +16.4%
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win more than 99.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? O 99.5 108 0.500 $53.82 $-10.66 -16.5%
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No 64 0.830 $53.23 $16.03 +43.1%
Will the Los Angeles Angels have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season? No 45 1.000 $44.98 $7.18 +19.0%
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-03 House seat? No 39 0.895 $35.09 $8.82 +33.6%
Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat? Yes 43 0.785 $33.88 $9.28 +37.7%
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027? No 31 0.855 $26.32 $14.91 +130.7%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 265 0.095 $25.13 $-19.77 -44.0%
Will Gunnar Henderson win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award? No 24 0.984 $23.62 $7.06 +42.6%
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes 83 0.285 $23.52 $9.48 +67.6%
Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No 14 0.958 $13.41 $2.26 +20.2%
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat? No 16 0.845 $13.20 $1.43 +12.1%
Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat? Yes 15 0.830 $12.45 $1.05 +9.2%
Istanbul 2: Daniil Ostapenkov vs Florent Bax Florent Bax 17 0.685 $11.34 $-0.91 -7.4%
Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez before 2027? No 11 0.922 $9.80 $1.08 +12.4%
Istanbul 2: Daniil Ostapenkov vs Florent Bax Daniil Ostapenkov 30 0.315 $9.45 $6.45 +214.9%