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Trader leaderboard/predictiondiablo

predictiondiablo

0xc9db23c5d9f7b86628474bcb74539b92c3b56789
PnL (30d)
+$2,371
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$464
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
37%
528W / 889L · 140 open
Win Return (30d)
40%
604W / 912L · 41 open
Trades (30d)
1,557
across 573 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$4.44
avg win $103 · loss $79
Profit Factor
1.10
$25,226 won / $22,855 lost
Reward / Risk
1.31
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1,507
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $46,225 · all-time $1,356,356

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 37.3% 528W/889L 573 $198,047
⚽ Sports 50.2% 105W/104L 98 $62,189
🎬 Culture 60.0% 3W/2L 4 $402
💵 Economy 100.0% 1W/0L 2 $122
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/2L 2 $8

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

54 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Lyon win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? No 365 0.985 $358.91 $104.08 +40.8%
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05? No 308 0.987 $303.83 $119.04 +64.4%
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31? No 289 0.920 $265.49 $41.99 +18.8%
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06? Yes 176 0.970 $170.69 $54.23 +46.6%
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31? No 235 0.570 $133.80 $-11.81 -8.1%
Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? No 160 0.825 $131.94 $31.19 +31.0%
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? No 373 0.330 $123.12 $1.54 +1.3%
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No 141 0.785 $110.62 $11.98 +12.1%
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No 105 0.680 $71.20 $42.03 +144.1%
Will the Colorado Rockies have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season? No 54 1.000 $54.32 $7.68 +16.5%
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No 64 0.830 $53.23 $16.03 +43.1%
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win more than 99.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? O 99.5 108 0.490 $52.74 $-11.74 -18.2%
Will the Los Angeles Angels have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season? No 45 0.980 $44.10 $6.30 +16.7%
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-03 House seat? No 39 0.895 $35.09 $8.82 +33.6%
Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat? Yes 43 0.785 $33.88 $9.28 +37.7%
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027? No 31 0.856 $26.35 $14.94 +130.9%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 265 0.095 $25.13 $-19.77 -44.0%
Will Gunnar Henderson win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award? No 24 0.984 $23.62 $7.06 +42.6%
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes 83 0.285 $23.52 $9.48 +67.6%
Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No 14 0.958 $13.41 $2.25 +20.2%
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat? No 16 0.845 $13.20 $1.43 +12.1%
Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat? Yes 15 0.830 $12.45 $1.05 +9.2%
Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez before 2027? No 11 0.921 $9.79 $1.07 +12.3%
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? Yes 90 0.105 $9.45 $0.45 +5.0%
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06? No 7 0.992 $6.77 $1.66 +32.5%