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Trader leaderboard/garbagefriends

garbagefriends

0xc5bdf06de8ac9e1a904408d101c0cdc86571ceaa
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$13
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
95%
38W / 2L · 27 open
Win Return (30d)
85%
57W / 10L
Trades (30d)
67
across 7 markets · ~10 per market
EV / position
−$3.17
avg win $16 · loss $61
Profit Factor
0.79
$48 won / $61 lost
Reward / Risk
0.26
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $35,827 · all-time $2,230,465

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 74.8% 805W/271L 139 $86,781
🏛 Politics 1.1% 1W/89L 11 $11,777
💵 Economy 100.0% 5W/0L 4 $375
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/66L 3 $1,966
₿ Crypto 3 $755

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

47 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 4,917 0.835 $4,105.47 $374.57 +10.0%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? Yes 1,729 0.625 $1,080.58 $-215.42 -16.6%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 876 0.978 $856.31 $3.29 +0.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? No 778 0.715 $556.05 $-26.08 -4.5%
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No 310 0.955 $295.73 $7.26 +2.5%
Iran Nuke before 2027? No 221 0.949 $209.70 $11.50 +5.8%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No 221 0.945 $208.88 $78.79 +60.6%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? No 200 0.991 $198.20 $2.40 +1.2%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 292 0.675 $197.42 $-13.16 -6.2%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes 762 0.245 $186.67 $-49.52 -21.0%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No 300 0.520 $156.06 $-7.01 -4.3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? Yes 1,155 0.125 $144.41 $-25.55 -15.0%
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No 136 0.966 $131.49 $5.97 +4.8%
Trump goes to space in 2026? No 127 0.984 $124.83 $2.73 +2.2%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? Yes 782 0.155 $121.17 $16.94 +16.3%
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No 118 0.974 $115.28 $6.96 +6.4%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes 301 0.355 $106.70 $-28.77 -21.2%
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No 90 0.905 $81.90 $-1.36 -1.6%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? Yes 132 0.600 $79.45 $0.11 +0.1%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No 120 0.625 $75.00 $10.20 +15.7%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? Yes 160 0.438 $70.00 $-5.20 -6.9%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 558 0.117 $65.01 $-17.42 -21.1%
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes 208 0.275 $57.17 $-7.32 -11.4%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 6,111 0.009 $51.94 $-3.06 -5.6%
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026? No 50 0.750 $37.45 $6.99 +23.0%