Log in
Trader leaderboard/garbagefriends

garbagefriends

0xc5bdf06de8ac9e1a904408d101c0cdc86571ceaa
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$199
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$6
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
59%
109W / 77L · 2 open
Win Return (30d)
58%
109W / 79L
Trades (30d)
188
across 15 markets · ~13 per market
EV / position
−$14.18
avg win $42 · loss $155
Profit Factor
0.68
$422 won / $620 lost
Reward / Risk
0.27
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$560
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $38,896 · all-time $2,233,533

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 74.8% 805W/271L 140 $87,505
🏛 Politics 1.1% 1W/89L 11 $11,777
💵 Economy 100.0% 5W/0L 4 $375
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/66L 3 $1,966
₿ Crypto 3 $821

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

50 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 4,917 0.845 $4,154.63 $423.74 +11.4%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? Yes 1,729 0.585 $1,011.42 $-284.58 -22.0%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 876 0.979 $857.19 $4.16 +0.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? No 778 0.695 $540.42 $-41.72 -7.2%
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No 310 0.955 $295.73 $7.26 +2.5%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? Yes 357 0.660 $235.92 $-1.36 -0.6%
Iran Nuke before 2027? No 221 0.952 $210.37 $12.16 +6.1%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No 221 0.945 $208.88 $78.79 +60.6%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? No 200 0.995 $198.90 $3.10 +1.6%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 292 0.675 $197.42 $-13.16 -6.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? Yes 1,713 0.115 $196.94 $-39.89 -16.8%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes 762 0.245 $186.67 $-49.52 -21.0%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No 300 0.515 $154.56 $-8.51 -5.2%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? Yes 782 0.175 $136.81 $32.57 +31.3%
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No 136 0.966 $131.49 $5.97 +4.8%
Trump goes to space in 2026? No 127 0.984 $124.83 $2.73 +2.2%
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No 118 0.974 $115.28 $6.96 +6.4%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes 301 0.355 $106.70 $-28.77 -21.2%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? Yes 201 0.427 $85.91 $-0.75 -0.9%
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No 90 0.905 $81.90 $-1.36 -1.6%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No 120 0.630 $75.60 $10.80 +16.7%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 558 0.117 $65.01 $-17.42 -21.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? Yes 1,298 0.044 $57.78 $-3.25 -5.3%
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes 208 0.265 $55.09 $-9.40 -14.6%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 6,111 0.009 $51.94 $-3.06 -5.6%