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Trader leaderboard/garbagefriends

garbagefriends

0xc5bdf06de8ac9e1a904408d101c0cdc86571ceaa
PnL (30d)
+$1,721
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$569
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+3.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
75%
805W / 271L · 895 open
Win Return (30d)
59%
1,169W / 802L
Trades (30d)
1,971
across 139 markets · ~14 per market
EV / position
+$17.21
avg win $49 · loss $51
Profit Factor
2.05
$3,358 won / $1,637 lost
Reward / Risk
0.97
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$858
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $35,827 · all-time $2,230,465

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 74.8% 805W/271L 139 $86,781
🏛 Politics 21.2% 24W/89L 13 $12,074
💵 Economy 100.0% 28W/0L 6 $672
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/66L 3 $1,966
₿ Crypto 3 $755

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

47 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 4,917 0.835 $4,105.47 $374.57 +10.0%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? Yes 1,729 0.625 $1,080.58 $-215.42 -16.6%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 876 0.977 $855.87 $2.85 +0.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? No 778 0.735 $571.60 $-10.53 -1.8%
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No 310 0.955 $295.73 $7.26 +2.5%
Iran Nuke before 2027? No 221 0.952 $210.37 $12.16 +6.1%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No 221 0.945 $208.88 $78.79 +60.6%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? No 200 0.990 $197.90 $2.10 +1.1%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 292 0.675 $197.42 $-13.16 -6.2%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes 762 0.250 $190.48 $-45.71 -19.4%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No 300 0.520 $156.06 $-7.01 -4.3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? Yes 1,155 0.125 $144.41 $-25.55 -15.0%
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No 136 0.966 $131.49 $5.97 +4.8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? Yes 782 0.165 $128.99 $24.76 +23.8%
Trump goes to space in 2026? No 127 0.984 $124.83 $2.73 +2.2%
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No 118 0.974 $115.28 $6.96 +6.4%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes 301 0.350 $105.20 $-30.28 -22.3%
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No 90 0.905 $81.90 $-1.36 -1.6%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? Yes 132 0.610 $80.78 $1.44 +1.8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? Yes 160 0.460 $73.52 $-1.68 -2.2%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No 120 0.585 $70.20 $5.40 +8.3%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 558 0.117 $65.01 $-17.42 -21.1%
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes 208 0.275 $57.17 $-7.32 -11.4%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 6,111 0.009 $51.94 $-3.06 -5.6%
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026? No 50 0.755 $37.70 $7.24 +23.8%