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loinvest

0xc34a4af2e3a818fdcdfaa7b5b140eca017ae6007
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$44
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-1.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
57%
21W / 16L
Win Return (30d)
57%
21W / 16L
Trades (30d)
37
across 3 markets · ~12 per market
EV / position
−$14.59
avg win $59 · loss $51
Profit Factor
0.57
$59 won / $102 lost
Reward / Risk
1.14
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$102
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $34,798 · all-time $1,889,947

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 70.2% 647W/275L 115 $117,225
🏛 Politics 77.8% 56W/16L 12 $6,288
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/16L 2 $399

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

23 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? Yes 1,900 0.765 $1,453.23 $424.88 +41.3%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? No 1,000 0.959 $958.50 $5.50 +0.6%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? No 900 0.855 $769.50 $-1.50 -0.2%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No 1,100 0.635 $698.49 $-55.50 -7.4%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 591 0.850 $501.80 $36.23 +7.8%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 500 0.785 $392.86 $211.37 +116.5%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? No 300 0.988 $296.25 $10.35 +3.6%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No 401 0.520 $208.27 $59.68 +40.2%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? No 210 0.976 $205.06 $0.21 +0.1%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? No 200 0.985 $196.90 $0.10 +0.1%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No 500 0.375 $187.50 $-16.74 -8.2%
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 50,000 0.004 $175.00 $-167.70 -48.9%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? No 1,500 0.115 $172.49 $-621.81 -78.3%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? Yes 552 0.290 $160.13 $-65.28 -29.0%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes 1,200 0.095 $113.97 $-288.15 -71.7%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 250 0.435 $108.68 $-35.37 -24.6%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? No 100 0.969 $96.85 $2.35 +2.5%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? Yes 550 0.165 $90.75 $-51.75 -36.3%
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? No 92 0.815 $75.18 $1.65 +2.2%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? Yes 545 0.115 $62.71 $-83.21 -57.0%
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 12,000 0.004 $54.00 $-19.99 -27.0%
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? Yes 400 0.110 $44.00 $-108.00 -71.1%
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 1,000 0.022 $22.50 $-6.50 -22.4%