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Trader leaderboard/amarraco

amarraco

0xc329e0c3e01ff7df41f21e589d38641305e66a58
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$260
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+40.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
73%
32W / 12L · 5 open
Win Return (30d)
69%
34W / 15L
Trades (30d)
49
across 27 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$10.41
avg win $20 · loss $5
Profit Factor
6.53
$307 won / $47 lost
Reward / Risk
4.35
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,699 · all-time $45,131

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 55.7% 157W/125L 108 $8,555
🏛 Politics 50.0% 2W/2L 7 $699
💵 Economy 100.0% 2W/0L 5 $764
🌤 Weather 26.7% 4W/11L 4 $104
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/2L 3 $178
⚽ Sports 2 $42
🤖 Tech 1 $19
🔬 Science 1 $19
₿ Crypto 1 $112

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

16 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 400 0.535 $214.00 $28.00 +15.1%
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes 90 0.605 $54.45 $-9.45 -14.8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? Yes 400 0.110 $44.00 $-68.00 -60.7%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 70 0.539 $37.77 $2.12 +5.9%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No 40 0.750 $30.00 $1.80 +6.4%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 200 0.145 $29.00 $-25.00 -46.3%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? No 20 0.952 $19.03 $-0.23 -1.2%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No 30 0.400 $12.00 $5.94 +98.0%
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes 40 0.170 $6.80 $-8.20 -54.7%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? No 100 0.065 $6.50 $0.50 +8.3%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 62 0.095 $5.84 $-0.45 -7.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No 10 0.455 $4.54 $-0.15 -3.2%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes 7 0.320 $2.28 $0.64 +39.1%
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? No 60 0.030 $1.80 $-1.80 -50.0%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? No 40 0.004 $0.16 $-5.64 -97.2%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 100 0.002 $0.15 $-0.05 -25.0%