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Trader leaderboard/amarraco

amarraco

0xc329e0c3e01ff7df41f21e589d38641305e66a58
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$36
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$74
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
37%
22W / 37L · 43 open
Win Return (30d)
55%
53W / 44L · 5 open
Trades (30d)
102
across 20 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$3.59
avg win $23 · loss $22
Profit Factor
0.72
$93 won / $129 lost
Reward / Risk
1.08
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$112
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,699 · all-time $45,131

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 55.7% 157W/125L 108 $8,555
🏛 Politics 75.0% 6W/2L 9 $953
💵 Economy 100.0% 6W/0L 5 $1,165
🌤 Weather 26.7% 4W/11L 4 $104
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/2L 3 $178
⚽ Sports 2 $42
🤖 Tech 1 $19
🔬 Science 1 $19
₿ Crypto 1 $112

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

16 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 400 0.545 $218.00 $32.00 +17.2%
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes 90 0.600 $54.00 $-9.90 -15.5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? Yes 400 0.130 $52.00 $-60.00 -53.6%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 70 0.539 $37.77 $2.12 +5.9%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 200 0.165 $33.00 $-21.00 -38.9%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No 40 0.750 $30.00 $1.80 +6.4%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? No 20 0.952 $19.03 $-0.23 -1.2%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No 30 0.375 $11.25 $5.19 +85.6%
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes 40 0.170 $6.80 $-8.20 -54.7%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? No 100 0.065 $6.50 $0.50 +8.3%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 62 0.095 $5.87 $-0.42 -6.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No 10 0.455 $4.54 $-0.15 -3.2%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes 7 0.320 $2.28 $0.64 +39.1%
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? No 60 0.034 $2.04 $-1.56 -43.3%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? No 40 0.048 $1.92 $-3.88 -66.9%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 100 0.002 $0.15 $-0.05 -25.0%