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Trader leaderboard/amarraco

amarraco

0xc329e0c3e01ff7df41f21e589d38641305e66a58
PnL (30d)
+$240
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$24
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+4.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
56%
157W / 125L · 108 open
Win Return (30d)
61%
235W / 150L · 5 open
Trades (30d)
390
across 108 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$3.15
avg win $16 · loss $16
Profit Factor
1.48
$735 won / $496 lost
Reward / Risk
1.02
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$336
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,699 · all-time $45,131

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 55.7% 157W/125L 108 $8,555
🏛 Politics 75.0% 6W/2L 9 $953
💵 Economy 100.0% 6W/0L 5 $1,165
🌤 Weather 26.7% 4W/11L 4 $104
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/2L 3 $178
⚽ Sports 2 $42
🤖 Tech 1 $19
🔬 Science 1 $19
₿ Crypto 1 $112

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

16 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? No 400 0.535 $214.00 $28.00 +15.1%
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes 90 0.600 $54.00 $-9.90 -15.5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? Yes 400 0.120 $48.00 $-64.00 -57.1%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 70 0.535 $37.48 $1.83 +5.1%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 200 0.165 $33.00 $-21.00 -38.9%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No 40 0.750 $30.00 $1.80 +6.4%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? No 20 0.950 $18.99 $-0.27 -1.4%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No 30 0.375 $11.25 $5.19 +85.6%
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes 40 0.170 $6.80 $-8.20 -54.7%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? No 100 0.065 $6.50 $0.50 +8.3%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 62 0.095 $5.84 $-0.45 -7.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No 10 0.455 $4.54 $-0.15 -3.2%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? No 40 0.057 $2.26 $-3.54 -61.0%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes 7 0.315 $2.25 $0.61 +37.0%
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? No 60 0.034 $2.04 $-1.56 -43.3%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 100 0.002 $0.15 $-0.05 -25.0%