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Trader leaderboard/Noteagle

Noteagle

0xc2dbb83dd39f9d604dbc5eee1f541baaee996865
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$22
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$37
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-5.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
4W / 4L · 14 open
Win Return (30d)
82%
18W / 4L
Trades (30d)
22
across 10 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$3.15
avg win $5 · loss $9
Profit Factor
0.40
$15 won / $37 lost
Reward / Risk
0.53
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$29
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $67,779 · all-time $945,922

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 73.6% 724W/260L 333 $272,052
💵 Economy 85.1% 57W/10L 43 $31,518
₿ Crypto 88.2% 60W/8L 42 $31,348
⚽ Sports 17.6% 3W/14L 9 $815
🏛 Politics 40.0% 2W/3L 8 $620
🎬 Culture 71.4% 5W/2L 6 $153

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

22 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No 268 0.968 $259.05 $0.96 +0.4%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $105 Week of August 3 2026? No 224 0.994 $222.32 $12.08 +5.7%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $117 Week of August 3 2026? No 200 0.971 $194.20 $30.44 +18.6%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $114 Week of August 3 2026? No 156 0.994 $154.93 $7.64 +5.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9? No 200 0.725 $144.99 $9.00 +6.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? No 143 0.960 $137.64 $-0.36 -0.3%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 Week of August 3 2026? No 100 0.977 $97.70 $6.70 +7.4%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of August 3 2026? No 100 0.967 $96.65 $5.65 +6.2%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $111 Week of August 3 2026? No 90 0.994 $89.46 $3.96 +4.6%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? No 411 0.145 $59.58 $-10.16 -14.6%
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5? Down 90 0.555 $49.94 $10.65 +27.1%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 50 0.945 $47.25 $8.75 +22.7%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No 50 0.865 $43.25 $6.25 +16.9%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 2,030 0.015 $31.47 $0.99 +3.3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? Yes 500 0.060 $30.00 $21.50 +252.9%
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $157.50 Week of August 3 2026? No 50 0.455 $22.75 $2.25 +11.0%
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $300 Week of August 3 2026? No 37 0.585 $21.64 $2.92 +15.6%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 100 0.209 $20.95 $0.85 +4.2%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 in August? No 17 0.890 $15.34 $8.10 +111.9%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? Yes 200 0.037 $7.50 $-24.50 -76.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? Yes 20 0.365 $7.30 $-0.10 -1.4%
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of August 3 above $126? Yes 6 0.930 $5.58 $0.06 +1.1%