PnL (30d)

+$6,029

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$368

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+2.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

74%

724W / 260L · 122 open

Win Return (30d)

72%

797W / 309L

Trades (30d)

1,106

across 333 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$19.96

avg win $38 · loss $28

Profit Factor

3.63

$8,318 won / $2,288 lost

Reward / Risk

1.33

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1,118

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	73.6% 724W/260L	333	$271,589
💵 Economy	85.1% 57W/10L	43	$31,103
₿ Crypto	88.2% 60W/8L	42	$31,177
⚽ Sports	17.4% 4W/19L	12	$2,412
🏛 Politics	40.0% 2W/3L	8	$360
🎬 Culture	71.4% 5W/2L	6	$148

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

21 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	255	0.967	$246.09	$0.55	+0.2%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $105 Week of August 3 2026?	No	224	0.994	$222.32	$12.08	+5.7%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $117 Week of August 3 2026?	No	200	0.971	$194.20	$30.44	+18.6%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $114 Week of August 3 2026?	No	156	0.994	$154.93	$7.64	+5.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	143	0.957	$137.28	$-0.72	-0.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9?	No	200	0.655	$130.99	$-5.00	-3.7%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 Week of August 3 2026?	No	100	0.993	$99.25	$8.25	+9.1%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of August 3 2026?	No	100	0.965	$96.45	$5.45	+6.0%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $111 Week of August 3 2026?	No	90	0.994	$89.46	$3.96	+4.6%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?	No	411	0.145	$59.58	$-10.16	-14.6%
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5?	Down	90	0.545	$49.04	$9.75	+24.8%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	50	0.945	$47.25	$8.75	+22.7%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	50	0.775	$38.75	$1.75	+4.7%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?	Yes	500	0.068	$34.00	$25.50	+300.0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	2,030	0.017	$33.50	$3.02	+9.9%
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $300 Week of August 3 2026?	No	37	0.820	$30.34	$11.62	+62.1%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.209	$20.95	$0.85	+4.2%
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $155 Week of August 3 2026?	No	50	0.315	$15.75	$-2.75	-14.9%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 in August?	No	17	0.830	$14.31	$7.07	+97.6%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	Yes	200	0.043	$8.50	$-23.50	-73.4%
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of August 3 above $126?	Yes	6	0.941	$5.64	$0.12	+2.2%