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Trader leaderboard/Noteagle

Noteagle

0xc2dbb83dd39f9d604dbc5eee1f541baaee996865
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$181
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$267
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
91%
99W / 10L · 31 open
Win Return (30d)
93%
130W / 10L
Trades (30d)
140
across 78 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$2.62
avg win $6 · loss $31
Profit Factor
1.97
$367 won / $186 lost
Reward / Risk
0.19
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$79
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $68,680 · all-time $946,713

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 73.6% 724W/260L 333 $272,052
💵 Economy 85.1% 57W/10L 43 $31,518
₿ Crypto 88.2% 60W/8L 42 $31,348
⚽ Sports 17.6% 3W/14L 9 $815
🏛 Politics 40.0% 2W/3L 8 $620
🎬 Culture 71.4% 5W/2L 6 $153

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

21 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No 268 0.968 $258.91 $0.83 +0.3%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $105 Week of August 3 2026? No 224 0.994 $222.32 $12.08 +5.7%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $117 Week of August 3 2026? No 200 0.993 $198.60 $34.84 +21.3%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $114 Week of August 3 2026? No 156 0.994 $154.93 $7.64 +5.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? No 143 0.960 $137.64 $-0.36 -0.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9? No 200 0.620 $123.99 $-12.00 -8.8%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 Week of August 3 2026? No 100 0.994 $99.40 $8.40 +9.2%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of August 3 2026? No 100 0.971 $97.05 $6.05 +6.6%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $111 Week of August 3 2026? No 90 0.994 $89.46 $3.96 +4.6%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? No 523 0.110 $57.52 $-23.43 -28.9%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 50 0.945 $47.25 $8.75 +22.7%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No 50 0.845 $42.25 $5.25 +14.2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? Yes 500 0.065 $32.50 $24.00 +282.4%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 2,030 0.015 $31.47 $0.99 +3.3%
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $300 Week of August 3 2026? No 37 0.730 $27.01 $8.29 +44.3%
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $157.50 Week of August 3 2026? No 50 0.485 $24.25 $3.75 +18.3%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 100 0.209 $20.95 $0.85 +4.2%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 in August? No 17 0.880 $15.17 $7.93 +109.5%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? Yes 200 0.038 $7.70 $-24.30 -75.9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? Yes 20 0.335 $6.70 $-0.70 -9.5%
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of August 3 above $126? Yes 6 0.930 $5.58 $0.06 +1.1%