| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
No |
1,465 |
0.790 |
$1,157.41 |
$657.41 |
+131.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
1,360 |
0.845 |
$1,148.96 |
$192.61 |
+20.1% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? |
No |
935 |
0.984 |
$919.57 |
$19.57 |
+2.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
951 |
0.875 |
$832.17 |
$82.17 |
+11.0% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? |
No |
917 |
0.675 |
$618.65 |
$-64.55 |
-9.4% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
643 |
0.915 |
$588.26 |
$12.38 |
+2.1% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
592 |
0.853 |
$504.97 |
$74.97 |
+17.4% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? |
No |
528 |
0.941 |
$496.42 |
$-3.58 |
-0.7% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
556 |
0.815 |
$453.34 |
$107.64 |
+31.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
656 |
0.625 |
$409.84 |
$9.84 |
+2.5% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
659 |
0.615 |
$405.50 |
$45.50 |
+12.6% |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $40B by December 31? |
No |
379 |
0.875 |
$331.62 |
$1.62 |
+0.5% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
390 |
0.845 |
$329.80 |
$210.49 |
+176.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
395 |
0.795 |
$313.82 |
$13.82 |
+4.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
312 |
0.973 |
$303.64 |
$3.64 |
+1.2% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of August 3 2026? |
No |
302 |
0.992 |
$299.54 |
$-0.46 |
-0.2% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
317 |
0.935 |
$296.84 |
$65.93 |
+28.6% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
302 |
0.979 |
$295.91 |
$20.91 |
+7.6% |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31? |
No |
287 |
0.925 |
$265.80 |
$15.80 |
+6.3% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? |
No |
345 |
0.770 |
$265.52 |
$165.52 |
+165.5% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? |
No |
742 |
0.345 |
$256.08 |
$56.08 |
+28.0% |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? |
No |
278 |
0.890 |
$247.22 |
$-2.78 |
-1.1% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
No |
364 |
0.665 |
$241.96 |
$-8.04 |
-3.2% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? |
No |
294 |
0.820 |
$241.18 |
$-8.82 |
-3.5% |
| Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $60B by December 31? |
No |
221 |
0.951 |
$209.70 |
$9.70 |
+4.9% |