| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
1,360 |
0.845 |
$1,148.96 |
$192.61 |
+20.1% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
No |
1,465 |
0.775 |
$1,135.44 |
$635.44 |
+127.1% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? |
No |
935 |
0.985 |
$920.50 |
$20.51 |
+2.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
951 |
0.855 |
$813.15 |
$63.15 |
+8.4% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? |
No |
917 |
0.710 |
$650.73 |
$-32.47 |
-4.8% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
643 |
0.915 |
$588.26 |
$12.38 |
+2.1% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
592 |
0.850 |
$503.20 |
$73.20 |
+17.0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? |
No |
528 |
0.935 |
$493.78 |
$-6.22 |
-1.2% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
556 |
0.825 |
$458.96 |
$113.26 |
+32.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
656 |
0.625 |
$409.84 |
$9.84 |
+2.5% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
659 |
0.615 |
$405.50 |
$45.50 |
+12.6% |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $40B by December 31? |
No |
379 |
0.875 |
$331.62 |
$1.62 |
+0.5% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
390 |
0.830 |
$323.95 |
$204.64 |
+171.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
395 |
0.765 |
$301.97 |
$1.97 |
+0.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
312 |
0.967 |
$301.92 |
$1.92 |
+0.6% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of August 3 2026? |
No |
302 |
0.993 |
$299.69 |
$-0.31 |
-0.1% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
317 |
0.935 |
$296.84 |
$65.93 |
+28.6% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
302 |
0.981 |
$296.51 |
$21.52 |
+7.8% |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31? |
No |
287 |
0.925 |
$265.80 |
$15.80 |
+6.3% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? |
No |
345 |
0.765 |
$263.79 |
$163.79 |
+163.8% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? |
No |
742 |
0.345 |
$256.08 |
$56.08 |
+28.0% |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? |
No |
278 |
0.895 |
$248.61 |
$-1.39 |
-0.6% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
No |
364 |
0.670 |
$243.78 |
$-6.22 |
-2.5% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? |
No |
294 |
0.820 |
$241.18 |
$-8.82 |
-3.5% |
| Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $60B by December 31? |
No |
221 |
0.951 |
$209.59 |
$9.59 |
+4.8% |