PnL (30d)

−$225

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$149

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-4.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 4L · 19 open

Win Return (30d)

83%

19W / 4L

Trades (30d)

23

across 2 markets · ~12 per market

EV / position

−$225.00

· loss $225

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $225 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	22.4% 57W/198L	50	$146,281
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/8L	2	$8,814
₿ Crypto	—	1	$3,161
💵 Economy	—	1	$3,161

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

105 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	6,422	0.767	$4,925.76	$-80.62	-1.6%
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?	No	4,872	0.662	$3,225.34	$-1,043.82	-24.5%
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	4,376	0.417	$1,824.61	$1,735.32	+1943.3%
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	1,490	0.765	$1,139.90	$67.05	+6.2%
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?	No	846	0.795	$672.45	$150.44	+28.8%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	722	0.905	$653.68	$68.62	+11.7%
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?	Yes	752	0.640	$481.28	$-82.72	-14.7%
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	385	0.935	$359.77	$45.02	+14.3%
Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	1,002	0.350	$350.79	$-380.47	-52.0%
Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	894	0.364	$325.71	$-77.96	-19.3%
Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	586	0.526	$308.05	$-201.46	-39.5%
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	3,503	0.085	$297.72	$-813.13	-73.2%
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	2,182	0.105	$229.16	$-300.93	-56.8%
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	506	0.410	$207.74	$45.80	+28.3%
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	No	238	0.675	$160.40	$-32.08	-16.7%
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?	Yes	1,000	0.155	$155.00	$-345.00	-69.0%
Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	7,379	0.021	$151.26	$-11.21	-6.9%
Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	4,376	0.030	$133.45	$44.16	+49.5%
Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	4,376	0.027	$118.14	$28.84	+32.3%
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	4,376	0.021	$93.64	$4.34	+4.9%
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	7,659	0.011	$88.08	$-562.35	-86.5%
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	89	0.962	$85.94	$0.63	+0.7%
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	4,376	0.018	$78.76	$-10.54	-11.8%
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	100	0.635	$63.36	$-13.47	-17.5%
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	4,152	0.011	$47.74	$-36.98	-43.6%