PnL (30d)

−$21,649

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1,369

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-22.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

22%

57W / 198L · 184 open

Win Return (30d)

40%

174W / 265L

Trades (30d)

439

across 50 markets · ~9 per market

EV / position

−$698.37

avg win $262 · loss $1,091

Profit Factor

0.10

$2,361 won / $24,011 lost

Reward / Risk

0.24

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$10,315

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	22.4% 57W/198L	50	$146,281
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/8L	2	$8,814
₿ Crypto	—	1	$3,173
💵 Economy	—	1	$3,173

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

105 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	6,422	0.768	$4,932.18	$-74.20	-1.5%
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?	No	4,872	0.677	$3,300.85	$-968.30	-22.7%
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	4,376	0.410	$1,793.99	$1,704.69	+1909.0%
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	1,490	0.765	$1,139.90	$67.05	+6.2%
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?	No	846	0.850	$718.97	$196.96	+37.7%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	722	0.905	$653.68	$68.62	+11.7%
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?	Yes	752	0.680	$511.36	$-52.64	-9.3%
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	385	0.940	$361.31	$46.56	+14.8%
Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	1,002	0.330	$330.74	$-400.51	-54.8%
Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	894	0.363	$324.81	$-78.86	-19.5%
Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	586	0.509	$298.10	$-211.42	-41.5%
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	3,503	0.075	$262.69	$-848.15	-76.4%
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	2,182	0.105	$229.16	$-300.93	-56.8%
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	506	0.414	$209.76	$47.82	+29.5%
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?	Yes	1,000	0.160	$160.00	$-340.00	-68.0%
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	No	238	0.665	$158.03	$-34.46	-17.9%
Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	7,379	0.021	$151.26	$-11.21	-6.9%
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	4,376	0.028	$122.52	$33.22	+37.2%
Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	4,376	0.025	$109.39	$20.09	+22.5%
Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	4,376	0.024	$105.01	$15.72	+17.6%
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	7,659	0.011	$88.08	$-562.35	-86.5%
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	89	0.962	$85.94	$0.63	+0.7%
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	4,376	0.018	$78.76	$-10.54	-11.8%
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	100	0.640	$63.86	$-12.97	-16.9%
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	1,500	0.034	$51.00	$-443.99	-89.7%