PnL (30d)

−$9,460

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$943

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-57.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

1%

1W / 80L · 41 open

Win Return (30d)

28%

34W / 88L

Trades (30d)

122

across 11 markets · ~11 per market

EV / position

−$1,351.38

avg win $85 · loss $1,591

Profit Factor

0.01

$85 won / $9,545 lost

Reward / Risk

0.05

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$8,250

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	22.4% 57W/198L	50	$146,281
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/8L	2	$8,814
₿ Crypto	—	1	$3,161
💵 Economy	—	1	$3,161

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

105 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	6,422	0.768	$4,932.18	$-74.20	-1.5%
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?	No	4,872	0.676	$3,295.98	$-973.17	-22.8%
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	4,376	0.409	$1,791.36	$1,702.06	+1906.1%
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	1,490	0.765	$1,139.90	$67.05	+6.2%
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?	No	846	0.850	$718.97	$196.96	+37.7%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	722	0.905	$653.68	$68.62	+11.7%
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?	Yes	752	0.675	$507.60	$-56.40	-10.0%
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	385	0.935	$359.58	$44.83	+14.2%
Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	1,002	0.330	$330.74	$-400.51	-54.8%
Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	894	0.362	$323.92	$-79.75	-19.8%
Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?	Yes	586	0.508	$297.51	$-212.01	-41.6%
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	3,503	0.075	$262.69	$-848.15	-76.4%
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	2,182	0.105	$229.16	$-300.93	-56.8%
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	506	0.414	$209.76	$47.82	+29.5%
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?	Yes	1,000	0.170	$170.00	$-330.00	-66.0%
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	No	238	0.670	$159.22	$-33.27	-17.3%
Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	7,379	0.021	$151.26	$-11.21	-6.9%
Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	4,376	0.026	$113.76	$24.47	+27.4%
Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	4,376	0.024	$102.83	$13.53	+15.2%
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	7,659	0.011	$88.08	$-562.35	-86.5%
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	4,376	0.020	$87.51	$-1.79	-2.0%
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	89	0.962	$85.94	$0.63	+0.7%
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	4,376	0.018	$78.76	$-10.54	-11.8%
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	100	0.640	$63.86	$-12.97	-16.9%
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	1,500	0.034	$51.00	$-443.99	-89.7%