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Trader

0xbc29b9e3a4c89d55c8a0629008ccaece830eb3b6
PnL (30d)
+$151
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$127
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+4.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
52%
550W / 502L · 172 open
Win Return (30d)
52%
637W / 583L · 4 open
Trades (30d)
1,224
across 310 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$0.57
avg win $6 · loss $4
Profit Factor
1.25
$753 won / $603 lost
Reward / Risk
1.42
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$14
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,021 · all-time $57,794

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 52.3% 550W/502L 310 $5,338
🏛 Politics 56.7% 38W/29L 42 $1,098
🎬 Culture 72.5% 29W/11L 22 $393
🌤 Weather 33.3% 1W/2L 4 $8

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

34 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 93 0.997 $92.63 $16.12 +21.1%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%? No 70 0.998 $70.18 $10.74 +18.1%
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary? Yes 70 0.875 $61.15 $16.21 +36.1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? No 40 0.968 $38.32 $-0.32 -0.8%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 82 0.445 $36.38 $5.31 +17.1%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? No 35 0.957 $33.15 $-0.45 -1.3%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 34 0.966 $33.03 $6.92 +26.5%
Will Trump say "No No No" in August? Yes 30 0.895 $27.10 $0.90 +3.5%
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No 37 0.715 $26.38 $13.47 +104.3%
Will Trump say "Through the Roof" in August? Yes 26 0.968 $25.48 $1.54 +6.4%
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 30 0.846 $25.36 $-1.88 -6.9%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No 16 0.996 $16.10 $1.10 +7.3%
Will Trump say "Soaking Wet" in August? Yes 27 0.555 $14.86 $1.71 +13.0%
Will Trump say "Six Seven" in August? Yes 20 0.675 $13.50 $-0.50 -3.6%
Will Trump say "American Dream" in August? Yes 15 0.885 $13.28 $0.97 +7.9%
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No 13 0.958 $12.19 $-0.12 -1.0%
Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee? Yes 51 0.205 $10.42 $-1.78 -14.6%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? No 10 0.969 $9.85 $3.69 +59.9%
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No 10 0.795 $7.95 $0.00 +0.0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? Yes 25 0.246 $6.08 $2.06 +51.2%
Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee? Yes 14 0.395 $5.41 $-2.81 -34.2%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by more than 25%? No 5 1.000 $5.00 $0.49 +10.9%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? No 5 0.997 $4.99 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? Yes 5 0.988 $4.94 $0.40 +8.8%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? No 5 0.965 $4.82 $0.62 +14.8%