| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
240 |
0.981 |
$235.32 |
$1.56 |
+0.7% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
240 |
0.954 |
$228.84 |
$-0.60 |
-0.3% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? |
No |
200 |
0.984 |
$196.70 |
$0.50 |
+0.3% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
145 |
0.964 |
$139.87 |
$0.22 |
+0.2% |
| Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? |
No |
120 |
0.853 |
$102.30 |
$-7.50 |
-6.8% |
| Will Nigel Farage win 50–60% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
100 |
0.940 |
$94.00 |
$4.00 |
+4.4% |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? |
No |
100 |
0.908 |
$90.85 |
$-2.75 |
-2.9% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? |
No |
100 |
0.907 |
$90.75 |
$-2.25 |
-2.4% |
| LA28 Olympics run as scheduled? |
Yes |
120 |
0.660 |
$79.26 |
$-26.46 |
-25.0% |
| Will Zendaya be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? |
No |
90 |
0.867 |
$78.03 |
$-4.23 |
-5.1% |
| Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? |
Yes |
120 |
0.625 |
$75.00 |
$-16.20 |
-17.8% |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026? |
No |
75 |
0.992 |
$74.40 |
$1.43 |
+2.0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Angels hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season? |
No |
75 |
0.991 |
$74.33 |
$0.53 |
+0.7% |
| Will US Bank fail by end of 2026? |
No |
75 |
0.971 |
$72.79 |
$-0.94 |
-1.3% |
| Will Azzi Fudd have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season? |
No |
75 |
0.968 |
$72.60 |
$-1.35 |
-1.8% |
| Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? |
No |
75 |
0.946 |
$70.95 |
$-2.70 |
-3.7% |
| Will Dak Prescott win the 2026 NFL MVP? |
No |
75 |
0.921 |
$69.11 |
$-1.16 |
-1.7% |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? |
No |
80 |
0.855 |
$68.40 |
$-1.90 |
-2.7% |
| Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? |
No |
62 |
0.971 |
$60.17 |
$0.15 |
+0.3% |
| Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027? |
No |
63 |
0.948 |
$59.72 |
$-0.76 |
-1.2% |
| NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? |
No |
60 |
0.960 |
$57.57 |
$0.21 |
+0.4% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
No |
60 |
0.949 |
$56.94 |
$-0.06 |
-0.1% |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? |
No |
62 |
0.895 |
$55.97 |
$1.72 |
+3.2% |
| Will Gabby Williams have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season? |
No |
56 |
0.985 |
$55.37 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
110 |
0.462 |
$50.77 |
$-0.97 |
-1.9% |