| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
240 |
0.978 |
$234.60 |
$0.84 |
+0.4% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
240 |
0.955 |
$229.08 |
$-0.36 |
-0.2% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? |
No |
200 |
0.983 |
$196.60 |
$0.40 |
+0.2% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
145 |
0.964 |
$139.87 |
$0.22 |
+0.2% |
| Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? |
No |
120 |
0.845 |
$101.40 |
$-8.40 |
-7.7% |
| Will Nigel Farage win 50–60% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
100 |
0.930 |
$93.00 |
$3.00 |
+3.3% |
| LA28 Olympics run as scheduled? |
Yes |
120 |
0.764 |
$91.68 |
$-14.04 |
-13.3% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? |
No |
100 |
0.908 |
$90.85 |
$-2.15 |
-2.3% |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? |
No |
100 |
0.908 |
$90.85 |
$-2.75 |
-2.9% |
| Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? |
No |
90 |
0.924 |
$83.20 |
$0.31 |
+0.4% |
| Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? |
Yes |
120 |
0.665 |
$79.80 |
$-11.40 |
-12.5% |
| Will Zendaya be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? |
No |
90 |
0.866 |
$77.94 |
$-4.32 |
-5.3% |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026? |
No |
75 |
0.992 |
$74.40 |
$1.43 |
+2.0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Angels hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season? |
No |
75 |
0.991 |
$74.33 |
$0.53 |
+0.7% |
| Will US Bank fail by end of 2026? |
No |
75 |
0.971 |
$72.83 |
$-0.90 |
-1.2% |
| Will Azzi Fudd have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season? |
No |
75 |
0.968 |
$72.60 |
$-1.35 |
-1.8% |
| Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? |
No |
75 |
0.952 |
$71.40 |
$-2.25 |
-3.1% |
| Will Dak Prescott win the 2026 NFL MVP? |
No |
75 |
0.921 |
$69.11 |
$-1.16 |
-1.7% |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? |
No |
80 |
0.785 |
$62.80 |
$-7.50 |
-10.7% |
| Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? |
No |
62 |
0.971 |
$60.17 |
$0.15 |
+0.3% |
| Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027? |
No |
63 |
0.948 |
$59.72 |
$-0.76 |
-1.2% |
| NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? |
No |
60 |
0.968 |
$58.08 |
$0.72 |
+1.3% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
No |
60 |
0.945 |
$56.67 |
$-0.33 |
-0.6% |
| Will Gabby Williams have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season? |
No |
56 |
0.985 |
$55.37 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Bruno Fernandes stay at Manchester United? |
Yes |
60 |
0.904 |
$54.24 |
$-0.66 |
-1.2% |