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Trader leaderboard/gavinfunda

gavinfunda

0xb92449f0f035e2e9de00f1f9a8f19e0158af0803
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$89
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$267
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
55%
67W / 54L · 249 open
Win Return (30d)
37%
136W / 232L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
370
across 98 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$4.67
avg win $4 · loss $8
Profit Factor
0.17
$18 won / $106 lost
Reward / Risk
0.46
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$60
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $42,450 · all-time $1,901,769

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 52.0% 1,646W/1,522L 1923 $196,817
🏛 Politics 46.9% 23W/26L 140 $14,323
⚽ Sports 26.1% 6W/17L 56 $3,039
💵 Economy 40.7% 11W/16L 43 $5,753
🎬 Culture 28.6% 2W/5L 31 $1,733
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/4L 20 $1,145
🌤 Weather 63.2% 12W/7L 13 $1,765
🔬 Science 0.0% 0W/1L 7 $1,950
₿ Crypto 2 $57

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

137 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No 240 0.982 $235.56 $1.80 +0.8%
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No 240 0.954 $228.84 $-0.60 -0.3%
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? No 200 0.984 $196.70 $0.50 +0.3%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? No 145 0.964 $139.87 $0.22 +0.2%
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 120 0.850 $102.00 $-7.80 -7.1%
Will Nigel Farage win 50–60% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? No 100 0.945 $94.50 $4.50 +5.0%
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? No 100 0.910 $91.00 $-2.60 -2.8%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No 100 0.907 $90.70 $-2.30 -2.5%
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? No 90 0.926 $83.34 $0.45 +0.5%
LA28 Olympics run as scheduled? Yes 120 0.660 $79.26 $-26.46 -25.0%
Will Zendaya be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? No 90 0.867 $78.03 $-4.23 -5.1%
Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? Yes 120 0.625 $75.00 $-16.20 -17.8%
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026? No 75 0.992 $74.40 $1.43 +2.0%
Will the Los Angeles Angels hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season? No 75 0.991 $74.33 $0.53 +0.7%
Will US Bank fail by end of 2026? No 75 0.971 $72.79 $-0.94 -1.3%
Will Azzi Fudd have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season? No 75 0.969 $72.67 $-1.27 -1.7%
Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? No 75 0.948 $71.10 $-2.55 -3.5%
Will Dak Prescott win the 2026 NFL MVP? No 75 0.921 $69.11 $-1.16 -1.7%
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? No 80 0.855 $68.40 $-1.90 -2.7%
Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? No 62 0.971 $60.17 $0.15 +0.3%
Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027? No 63 0.948 $59.72 $-0.76 -1.2%
NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? No 60 0.960 $57.57 $0.21 +0.4%
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? No 60 0.949 $56.94 $-0.06 -0.1%
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? No 62 0.896 $56.00 $1.75 +3.2%
Will Gabby Williams have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season? No 56 0.985 $55.37 $0.00 +0.0%