PnL (30d)

−$4

Tech · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

47%

8W / 9L · 46 open

Win Return (30d)

86%

54W / 9L

Trades (30d)

63

across 3 markets · ~21 per market

EV / position

−$1.98

avg win $1 · loss $5

Profit Factor

0.20

$1 won / $5 lost

Reward / Risk

0.20

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	63.3% 722W/419L	239	$23,709
🏛 Politics	40.0% 20W/30L	29	$1,797
💵 Economy	100.0% 3W/0L	7	$523
🎬 Culture	40.0% 16W/24L	5	$550
⚽ Sports	—	1	$62
🤖 Tech	—	1	$30
₿ Crypto	—	1	$3

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

111 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	Yes	183	0.695	$127.09	$67.59	+113.6%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	140	0.835	$116.88	$8.50	+7.8%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	125	0.785	$98.48	$59.93	+155.5%
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	102	0.955	$97.08	$0.94	+1.0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	116	0.805	$93.15	$33.15	+55.3%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	143	0.540	$76.97	$16.97	+28.3%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	77	0.970	$74.54	$4.55	+6.5%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	Yes	150	0.484	$72.59	$36.85	+103.1%
Trump goes to space in 2026?	No	72	0.984	$70.95	$0.95	+1.4%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	Yes	100	0.705	$70.67	$10.68	+17.8%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	71	0.985	$69.65	$-0.35	-0.5%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	85	0.815	$69.46	$9.46	+15.8%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	75	0.915	$68.63	$8.63	+14.4%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	No	75	0.915	$68.23	$8.22	+13.7%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	75	0.885	$65.97	$5.97	+9.9%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	No	123	0.525	$64.67	$14.66	+29.3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	76	0.845	$64.51	$4.96	+8.3%
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?	Yes	120	0.535	$64.09	$4.10	+6.8%
Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026?	No	66	0.945	$62.28	$3.19	+5.4%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	63	0.987	$62.04	$2.04	+3.4%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	63	0.977	$61.32	$1.32	+2.2%
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?	No	63	0.975	$60.99	$0.98	+1.6%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	99	0.615	$60.60	$10.52	+21.0%
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	94	0.645	$60.59	$0.59	+1.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	78	0.775	$60.30	$0.30	+0.5%