| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
183 |
0.710 |
$129.85 |
$70.35 |
+118.2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
140 |
0.855 |
$119.68 |
$11.30 |
+10.4% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? |
No |
102 |
0.945 |
$96.06 |
$-0.08 |
-0.1% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
113 |
0.845 |
$95.54 |
$60.80 |
+175.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
116 |
0.800 |
$92.57 |
$32.57 |
+54.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
172 |
0.440 |
$75.47 |
$17.95 |
+31.2% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
143 |
0.525 |
$74.83 |
$14.84 |
+24.7% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
77 |
0.969 |
$74.42 |
$4.43 |
+6.3% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
100 |
0.725 |
$72.67 |
$12.68 |
+21.1% |
| Trump goes to space in 2026? |
No |
72 |
0.984 |
$70.95 |
$0.95 |
+1.4% |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? |
No |
71 |
0.985 |
$69.61 |
$-0.39 |
-0.6% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
No |
85 |
0.815 |
$69.46 |
$9.46 |
+15.8% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? |
Yes |
75 |
0.915 |
$68.63 |
$8.63 |
+14.4% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? |
No |
75 |
0.915 |
$68.23 |
$8.22 |
+13.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
75 |
0.885 |
$65.97 |
$5.97 |
+9.9% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? |
Yes |
120 |
0.540 |
$64.69 |
$4.69 |
+7.8% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? |
No |
123 |
0.525 |
$64.67 |
$14.66 |
+29.3% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
76 |
0.845 |
$64.51 |
$4.96 |
+8.3% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026? |
No |
66 |
0.945 |
$62.28 |
$3.19 |
+5.4% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
63 |
0.987 |
$62.04 |
$2.04 |
+3.4% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
63 |
0.977 |
$61.32 |
$1.32 |
+2.2% |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? |
No |
63 |
0.980 |
$61.30 |
$1.30 |
+2.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
99 |
0.615 |
$60.60 |
$10.52 |
+21.0% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? |
No |
94 |
0.645 |
$60.59 |
$0.59 |
+1.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
No |
78 |
0.775 |
$60.30 |
$0.30 |
+0.5% |