| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
183 |
0.680 |
$124.37 |
$64.86 |
+109.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
140 |
0.835 |
$116.88 |
$8.50 |
+7.8% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
125 |
0.785 |
$98.48 |
$59.93 |
+155.5% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? |
No |
102 |
0.955 |
$97.08 |
$0.94 |
+1.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
116 |
0.780 |
$90.25 |
$30.26 |
+50.4% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
143 |
0.545 |
$77.68 |
$17.69 |
+29.5% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
77 |
0.970 |
$74.50 |
$4.51 |
+6.4% |
| Trump goes to space in 2026? |
No |
72 |
0.984 |
$70.95 |
$0.95 |
+1.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
150 |
0.472 |
$70.80 |
$35.05 |
+98.0% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
100 |
0.705 |
$70.67 |
$10.68 |
+17.8% |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? |
No |
71 |
0.985 |
$69.65 |
$-0.35 |
-0.5% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
No |
85 |
0.810 |
$69.05 |
$9.04 |
+15.1% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? |
Yes |
75 |
0.910 |
$68.26 |
$8.25 |
+13.7% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? |
No |
75 |
0.915 |
$68.23 |
$8.22 |
+13.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
75 |
0.885 |
$65.97 |
$5.97 |
+9.9% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
76 |
0.845 |
$64.51 |
$4.96 |
+8.3% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? |
Yes |
120 |
0.535 |
$64.09 |
$4.10 |
+6.8% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? |
No |
123 |
0.520 |
$64.05 |
$14.05 |
+28.1% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026? |
No |
66 |
0.945 |
$62.28 |
$3.19 |
+5.4% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
63 |
0.987 |
$62.08 |
$2.08 |
+3.5% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
63 |
0.977 |
$61.32 |
$1.32 |
+2.2% |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? |
No |
63 |
0.975 |
$60.99 |
$0.98 |
+1.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
99 |
0.615 |
$60.60 |
$10.52 |
+21.0% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? |
No |
94 |
0.645 |
$60.59 |
$0.59 |
+1.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
No |
78 |
0.775 |
$60.30 |
$0.30 |
+0.5% |