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0xb41c082290933df8904699cf67895d60ffd95bd3
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$583
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+25.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
48%
50W / 54L · 2 open
Win Return (30d)
48%
50W / 54L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
106
across 29 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$20.84
avg win $63 · loss $16
Profit Factor
3.44
$823 won / $239 lost
Reward / Risk
3.97
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$19
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $7,665 · all-time $1,011,021
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
No |
1,160 |
0.962 |
$1,115.34 |
$535.34 |
+92.3% |
| Will JPMorgan (JPM) close at USD 1 trillion or more market cap by August 31? |
No |
249 |
0.770 |
$191.72 |
$33.64 |
+21.3% |
| Will JPMorgan (JPM) close at USD 1 trillion or more market cap by October 31? |
Yes |
245 |
0.410 |
$100.45 |
$0.30 |
+0.3% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August? |
No |
80 |
0.984 |
$78.28 |
$5.09 |
+7.0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
Yes |
1,160 |
0.038 |
$44.66 |
$-535.34 |
-92.3% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in August? |
No |
20 |
0.968 |
$19.80 |
$0.36 |
+1.8% |
| Will CopperTech Metals' market cap be between $4.8B and $5.4B at market close on IPO day? |
Yes |
446 |
0.037 |
$16.49 |
$11.82 |
+252.9% |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in August? |
No |
9 |
0.695 |
$6.58 |
$-0.71 |
-9.8% |
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
5 |
0.002 |
$0.01 |
$-0.04 |
-85.0% |