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0xb41c082290933df8904699cf67895d60ffd95bd3
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$118
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
—
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
0%
0W / 5L
Trades (30d)
5
across 2 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
—
no settled positions
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $7,621 · all-time $1,010,977
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
No |
1,160 |
0.961 |
$1,114.18 |
$534.18 |
+92.1% |
| Will JPMorgan (JPM) close at USD 1 trillion or more market cap by August 31? |
No |
249 |
0.795 |
$197.95 |
$39.86 |
+25.2% |
| Will JPMorgan (JPM) close at USD 1 trillion or more market cap by October 31? |
Yes |
245 |
0.410 |
$100.45 |
$0.30 |
+0.3% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August? |
No |
80 |
0.987 |
$78.48 |
$5.29 |
+7.2% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
Yes |
1,160 |
0.040 |
$45.82 |
$-534.18 |
-92.1% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on August 5? |
Yes |
40 |
0.988 |
$39.52 |
$1.18 |
+3.1% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in August? |
No |
20 |
0.967 |
$19.78 |
$0.34 |
+1.7% |
| Will CopperTech Metals' market cap be between $4.8B and $5.4B at market close on IPO day? |
Yes |
446 |
0.029 |
$12.70 |
$8.03 |
+171.8% |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in August? |
No |
9 |
0.700 |
$6.63 |
$-0.66 |
-9.1% |
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
5 |
0.003 |
$0.01 |
$-0.04 |
-75.0% |