PnL (30d)

−$39

Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$128

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

44%

102W / 128L · 74 open

Win Return (30d)

42%

113W / 157L · 34 open

Trades (30d)

304

across 84 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$0.62

avg win $5 · loss $4

Profit Factor

0.76

$125 won / $164 lost

Reward / Risk

1.08

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$49

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	44.0% 449W/572L	275	$98,231
₿ Crypto	62.5% 35W/21L	27	$4,179
💵 Economy	62.5% 35W/21L	27	$4,179
⚽ Sports	68.1% 32W/15L	16	$3,597
🏛 Politics	—	1	$4

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	1,160	0.961	$1,114.18	$534.18	+92.1%
Will JPMorgan (JPM) close at USD 1 trillion or more market cap by August 31?	No	249	0.770	$191.72	$33.64	+21.3%
Will JPMorgan (JPM) close at USD 1 trillion or more market cap by October 31?	Yes	245	0.410	$100.45	$0.30	+0.3%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?	No	80	0.986	$78.44	$5.25	+7.2%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	1,160	0.040	$45.82	$-534.18	-92.1%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on August 5?	Yes	40	0.965	$38.58	$0.24	+0.6%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in August?	No	20	0.968	$19.81	$0.37	+1.9%
Will CopperTech Metals' market cap be between $4.8B and $5.4B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	446	0.027	$12.03	$7.36	+157.5%
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in August?	No	9	0.705	$6.68	$-0.62	-8.4%
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	5	0.003	$0.01	$-0.04	-75.0%