| Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
No |
8 |
0.790 |
$6.32 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| USMCA extended in 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.750 |
$6.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30? |
No |
8 |
0.680 |
$5.44 |
$-0.56 |
-9.3% |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by August 31? |
No |
6 |
0.800 |
$4.52 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? |
Yes |
8 |
0.560 |
$4.48 |
$-0.00 |
-0.0% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
11 |
0.400 |
$4.30 |
$0.34 |
+8.7% |
| Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
8 |
0.485 |
$3.88 |
$-0.44 |
-10.2% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? |
No |
5 |
0.825 |
$3.86 |
$0.77 |
+25.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.875 |
$3.32 |
$0.21 |
+6.7% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
Yes |
4 |
0.820 |
$3.26 |
$0.16 |
+5.1% |
| José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? |
No |
3 |
0.945 |
$3.13 |
$0.45 |
+16.7% |
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31? |
No |
3 |
0.920 |
$2.76 |
$0.60 |
+27.8% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.635 |
$2.74 |
$-0.02 |
-0.8% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? |
No |
4 |
0.525 |
$2.10 |
$-0.46 |
-18.0% |
| Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $300B by December 31? |
No |
3 |
0.795 |
$2.01 |
$-0.06 |
-2.9% |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? |
No |
2 |
0.920 |
$1.67 |
$0.14 |
+9.5% |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
No |
2 |
0.825 |
$1.65 |
$0.31 |
+23.1% |
| US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.320 |
$1.52 |
$0.48 |
+45.4% |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? |
Yes |
8 |
0.180 |
$1.44 |
$-0.00 |
-0.0% |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? |
Yes |
5 |
0.285 |
$1.41 |
$-0.07 |
-5.1% |
| Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.255 |
$1.27 |
$-0.28 |
-17.7% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? |
No |
3 |
0.440 |
$1.23 |
$-0.59 |
-32.3% |
| Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
No |
1 |
0.795 |
$1.18 |
$0.07 |
+6.0% |
| Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $4B by December 31? |
No |
1 |
0.855 |
$0.85 |
$0.06 |
+8.2% |
| Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by September 30? |
Yes |
3 |
0.275 |
$0.80 |
$-0.10 |
-11.3% |