| Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
No |
8 |
0.790 |
$6.32 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Karim Benzema attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
No |
8 |
0.790 |
$6.32 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| USMCA extended in 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.750 |
$6.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
8 |
0.740 |
$5.92 |
$0.08 |
+1.4% |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30? |
No |
8 |
0.650 |
$5.20 |
$-0.80 |
-13.3% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? |
Yes |
8 |
0.560 |
$4.48 |
$-0.00 |
-0.0% |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by August 31? |
No |
6 |
0.785 |
$4.44 |
$-0.08 |
-1.9% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
11 |
0.400 |
$4.30 |
$0.34 |
+8.7% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? |
No |
5 |
0.825 |
$3.86 |
$0.77 |
+25.0% |
| Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
8 |
0.470 |
$3.76 |
$-0.56 |
-13.0% |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? |
No |
9 |
0.400 |
$3.52 |
$-0.17 |
-4.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.875 |
$3.32 |
$0.21 |
+6.7% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
Yes |
4 |
0.820 |
$3.26 |
$0.16 |
+5.1% |
| José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? |
No |
3 |
0.945 |
$3.13 |
$0.45 |
+16.7% |
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31? |
No |
3 |
0.920 |
$2.76 |
$0.60 |
+27.8% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.635 |
$2.74 |
$-0.02 |
-0.8% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? |
No |
4 |
0.650 |
$2.60 |
$0.04 |
+1.6% |
| Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $300B by December 31? |
No |
3 |
0.795 |
$2.01 |
$-0.06 |
-2.9% |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? |
No |
2 |
0.920 |
$1.67 |
$0.14 |
+9.5% |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
No |
2 |
0.825 |
$1.65 |
$0.31 |
+23.1% |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? |
Yes |
8 |
0.180 |
$1.44 |
$-0.00 |
-0.0% |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? |
Yes |
5 |
0.285 |
$1.41 |
$-0.07 |
-5.1% |
| US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.280 |
$1.33 |
$0.29 |
+27.3% |
| Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.255 |
$1.27 |
$-0.28 |
-17.7% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? |
No |
3 |
0.435 |
$1.22 |
$-0.60 |
-33.1% |