| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 |
No |
8 |
0.810 |
$6.48 |
$0.08 |
+1.2% |
| Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
No |
8 |
0.795 |
$6.36 |
$0.04 |
+0.6% |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? |
Yes |
8 |
0.755 |
$6.04 |
$-0.04 |
-0.7% |
| Will Karim Benzema attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
No |
8 |
0.755 |
$6.04 |
$-0.28 |
-4.4% |
| USMCA extended in 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.750 |
$6.00 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? |
No |
8 |
0.725 |
$5.80 |
$-0.04 |
-0.7% |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30? |
No |
8 |
0.650 |
$5.20 |
$-0.80 |
-13.3% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? |
Yes |
8 |
0.555 |
$4.44 |
$-0.04 |
-0.9% |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by August 31? |
No |
6 |
0.785 |
$4.44 |
$-0.08 |
-1.9% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
11 |
0.405 |
$4.35 |
$0.40 |
+10.0% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? |
No |
5 |
0.825 |
$3.86 |
$0.77 |
+25.0% |
| Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
8 |
0.470 |
$3.76 |
$-0.56 |
-13.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.875 |
$3.32 |
$0.21 |
+6.7% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
Yes |
4 |
0.820 |
$3.26 |
$0.16 |
+5.1% |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
8 |
0.405 |
$3.24 |
$-0.12 |
-3.6% |
| José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? |
No |
3 |
0.945 |
$3.13 |
$0.45 |
+16.7% |
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31? |
No |
3 |
0.915 |
$2.75 |
$0.58 |
+27.1% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.635 |
$2.74 |
$-0.02 |
-0.8% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? |
No |
4 |
0.680 |
$2.72 |
$0.16 |
+6.2% |
| Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
No |
8 |
0.325 |
$2.60 |
$-0.12 |
-4.4% |
| Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $300B by December 31? |
No |
3 |
0.795 |
$2.01 |
$-0.06 |
-2.9% |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? |
No |
2 |
0.935 |
$1.69 |
$0.17 |
+11.3% |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
No |
2 |
0.825 |
$1.65 |
$0.31 |
+23.1% |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30? |
No |
8 |
0.200 |
$1.60 |
$-0.08 |
-4.8% |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? |
Yes |
8 |
0.180 |
$1.44 |
$-0.00 |
-0.0% |