| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? |
No |
1,868 |
0.335 |
$625.64 |
$346.96 |
+124.5% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? |
No |
4,520 |
0.125 |
$565.00 |
$54.77 |
+10.7% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? |
No |
1,546 |
0.345 |
$533.13 |
$179.07 |
+50.6% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? |
No |
2,701 |
0.112 |
$302.47 |
$157.48 |
+108.6% |
| US x China tariff agreement by December 31? |
No |
2,091 |
0.111 |
$231.03 |
$-94.31 |
-29.0% |
| Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? |
No |
330 |
0.595 |
$196.35 |
$-14.85 |
-7.0% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? |
No |
750 |
0.255 |
$191.25 |
$49.75 |
+35.2% |
| Squid FDV above $100M one day after launch |
Yes |
150 |
0.845 |
$126.75 |
$34.14 |
+36.9% |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? |
Yes |
800 |
0.145 |
$116.00 |
$44.00 |
+61.1% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? |
No |
213 |
0.475 |
$101.17 |
$-28.44 |
-21.9% |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI — greater valuation growth August 2026 |
Anthropic |
148 |
0.635 |
$93.98 |
$-15.66 |
-14.3% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? |
No |
964 |
0.080 |
$76.62 |
$1.33 |
+1.8% |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31? |
No |
177 |
0.400 |
$70.80 |
$12.39 |
+21.2% |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? |
No |
300 |
0.225 |
$67.50 |
$-3.50 |
-4.9% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? |
No |
300 |
0.223 |
$66.75 |
$5.02 |
+8.1% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
1,505 |
0.043 |
$65.32 |
$-0.28 |
-0.4% |
| Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? |
No |
527 |
0.078 |
$41.13 |
$-28.87 |
-41.2% |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by December 31? |
No |
497 |
0.082 |
$40.51 |
$-8.72 |
-17.7% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? |
No |
205 |
0.195 |
$39.98 |
$19.48 |
+95.0% |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? |
Yes |
100 |
0.365 |
$36.50 |
$-0.50 |
-1.4% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.070 |
$34.75 |
$-0.25 |
-0.7% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
2,522 |
0.013 |
$34.05 |
$-144.95 |
-81.0% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? |
No |
42 |
0.785 |
$32.97 |
$13.31 |
+67.7% |
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70? |
No |
1,000 |
0.022 |
$22.00 |
$-5.98 |
-21.4% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 31? |
No |
85 |
0.175 |
$14.95 |
$4.70 |
+45.8% |