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Trader leaderboard/Mr.Frog🐸

Mr.Frog🐸

0xb1fea3922a1998248cf2ae51f740b9be2bb7423a
PnL (30d)
+$1,124
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1,280
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+7.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
39%
171W / 266L · 182 open
Win Return (30d)
45%
280W / 337L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
619
across 148 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$10.81
avg win $137 · loss $48
Profit Factor
1.33
$4,536 won / $3,412 lost
Reward / Risk
2.86
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$202
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $10,643 · all-time $3,771,152

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 39.1% 171W/266L 148 $25,894
🏛 Politics 33.3% 1W/2L 6 $156
🤖 Tech 3 $605
🎬 Culture 50.0% 1W/1L 3 $92
💵 Economy 3 $340
₿ Crypto 1 $64

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

38 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? No 1,868 0.355 $662.99 $384.31 +137.9%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? No 4,520 0.125 $565.00 $54.77 +10.7%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No 1,546 0.345 $533.13 $179.07 +50.6%
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No 2,701 0.107 $288.97 $143.97 +99.3%
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? No 2,091 0.111 $231.03 $-94.31 -29.0%
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No 330 0.615 $202.95 $-8.25 -3.9%
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? No 750 0.250 $187.50 $46.00 +32.5%
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes 800 0.145 $116.00 $44.00 +61.1%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? No 213 0.475 $101.17 $-28.44 -21.9%
Squid FDV above $100M one day after launch Yes 150 0.570 $85.48 $-7.13 -7.7%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? No 964 0.080 $76.62 $1.33 +1.8%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31? No 177 0.400 $70.80 $12.39 +21.2%
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? No 300 0.230 $69.00 $-2.00 -2.8%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? No 300 0.223 $66.90 $5.17 +8.4%
Anthropic vs OpenAI — greater valuation growth August 2026 Anthropic 100 0.635 $63.50 $-13.50 -17.5%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes 1,505 0.038 $57.94 $-7.65 -11.7%
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? No 527 0.078 $41.13 $-28.87 -41.2%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by December 31? No 497 0.081 $40.26 $-8.97 -18.2%
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 205 0.195 $39.98 $19.48 +95.0%
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? Yes 100 0.365 $36.50 $-0.50 -1.4%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No 500 0.070 $34.75 $-0.25 -0.7%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? No 2,522 0.013 $34.05 $-144.95 -81.0%
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No 42 0.785 $32.97 $13.31 +67.7%
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70? No 1,000 0.022 $22.00 $-5.98 -21.4%
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? Yes 1,000 0.015 $15.00 $-27.64 -64.8%