| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
No |
252 |
0.890 |
$224.28 |
$23.64 |
+11.8% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
275 |
0.745 |
$204.86 |
$32.07 |
+18.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
200 |
0.835 |
$167.00 |
$19.00 |
+12.8% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
244 |
0.615 |
$150.18 |
$7.07 |
+4.9% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
151 |
0.973 |
$146.75 |
$5.16 |
+3.6% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
167 |
0.775 |
$129.06 |
$26.63 |
+26.0% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
271 |
0.435 |
$117.72 |
$-22.89 |
-16.3% |
| Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
146 |
0.790 |
$115.48 |
$37.66 |
+48.4% |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? |
No |
130 |
0.395 |
$51.09 |
$-4.99 |
-8.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
93 |
0.540 |
$50.08 |
$-1.07 |
-2.1% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
250 |
0.165 |
$41.30 |
$-36.43 |
-46.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
43 |
0.615 |
$26.30 |
$1.07 |
+4.2% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
92 |
0.277 |
$25.36 |
$-5.00 |
-16.5% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
No |
64 |
0.390 |
$24.92 |
$-0.64 |
-2.5% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
211 |
0.051 |
$10.74 |
$-7.22 |
-40.2% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
Yes |
10 |
0.065 |
$0.63 |
$-1.22 |
-65.8% |