| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
No |
252 |
0.885 |
$223.02 |
$22.38 |
+11.2% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
275 |
0.745 |
$204.86 |
$32.07 |
+18.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
200 |
0.835 |
$167.00 |
$19.00 |
+12.8% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
244 |
0.615 |
$150.18 |
$7.07 |
+4.9% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
151 |
0.973 |
$146.75 |
$5.16 |
+3.6% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
167 |
0.785 |
$130.72 |
$28.30 |
+27.6% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
271 |
0.455 |
$123.13 |
$-17.48 |
-12.4% |
| Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
146 |
0.790 |
$115.48 |
$37.66 |
+48.4% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31, 2026? |
No |
163 |
0.465 |
$75.72 |
$10.58 |
+16.2% |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? |
No |
130 |
0.395 |
$51.09 |
$-4.99 |
-8.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
93 |
0.519 |
$48.13 |
$-3.02 |
-5.9% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
250 |
0.165 |
$41.30 |
$-36.43 |
-46.9% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by August 9, 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.650 |
$32.50 |
$1.30 |
+4.2% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
No |
74 |
0.370 |
$27.34 |
$-2.02 |
-6.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
43 |
0.625 |
$26.73 |
$1.50 |
+5.9% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
92 |
0.277 |
$25.40 |
$-4.96 |
-16.3% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by August 16, 2026? |
No |
40 |
0.485 |
$19.40 |
$0.20 |
+1.0% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
211 |
0.049 |
$10.34 |
$-7.62 |
-42.4% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
Yes |
10 |
0.065 |
$0.63 |
$-1.22 |
-65.8% |