| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
No |
252 |
0.885 |
$223.02 |
$22.38 |
+11.2% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
275 |
0.745 |
$204.86 |
$32.07 |
+18.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
200 |
0.835 |
$167.00 |
$19.00 |
+12.8% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
244 |
0.615 |
$150.18 |
$7.07 |
+4.9% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
151 |
0.972 |
$146.60 |
$5.00 |
+3.5% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
167 |
0.785 |
$130.72 |
$28.30 |
+27.6% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
271 |
0.450 |
$121.78 |
$-18.83 |
-13.4% |
| Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
146 |
0.830 |
$121.33 |
$43.51 |
+55.9% |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? |
No |
130 |
0.395 |
$51.09 |
$-4.99 |
-8.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
93 |
0.542 |
$50.27 |
$-0.89 |
-1.7% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
250 |
0.165 |
$41.30 |
$-36.43 |
-46.9% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
No |
74 |
0.365 |
$26.97 |
$-2.39 |
-8.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
43 |
0.615 |
$26.30 |
$1.07 |
+4.2% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
92 |
0.278 |
$25.45 |
$-4.91 |
-16.2% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
211 |
0.051 |
$10.74 |
$-7.22 |
-40.2% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
Yes |
10 |
0.065 |
$0.63 |
$-1.22 |
-65.8% |