Log in
Trader leaderboard/The-Defect

The-Defect

0xac6a1ca423ef87d52b6baa7afb70c90229d22ed3
Scoped to Tech — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Tech · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$7
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
53%
8W / 7L
Trades (30d)
15
across 4 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $17,038 · all-time $906,218

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 75.6% 615W/199L 196 $49,822
🏛 Politics 82.0% 50W/11L 18 $2,416
🎬 Culture 47.3% 43W/48L 10 $2,873
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/1L 9 $1,193
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/1L 8 $1,022
🤖 Tech 3 $256
₿ Crypto 1 $33

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

91 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? Yes 1,404 0.889 $1,248.79 $37.34 +3.1%
NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? No 1,012 0.925 $936.29 $57.00 +6.5%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No 1,088 0.790 $859.59 $59.65 +7.5%
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes 874 0.465 $406.24 $-195.65 -32.5%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 445 0.910 $404.80 $40.03 +11.0%
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No 392 0.845 $331.40 $63.00 +23.5%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 363 0.855 $309.98 $15.36 +5.2%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 351 0.835 $292.85 $-9.35 -3.1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? No 279 0.970 $270.55 $0.73 +0.3%
NBA: Will Anthony Davis be traded by next season? No 271 0.955 $258.81 $20.32 +8.5%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? Yes 255 0.870 $222.00 $5.75 +2.7%
Will Mohammed bin Salman attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? No 221 0.961 $212.05 $6.97 +3.4%
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No 254 0.725 $183.99 $6.24 +3.5%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 165 0.795 $131.27 $30.52 +30.3%
China ballistic missile launch by December 31? No 159 0.825 $131.17 $10.40 +8.6%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 172 0.620 $106.66 $3.44 +3.3%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes 584 0.155 $90.52 $15.70 +21.0%
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No 134 0.660 $88.32 $-0.64 -0.7%
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31? No 90 0.925 $83.25 $2.75 +3.4%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 125 0.635 $79.52 $6.26 +8.5%
Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? Yes 79 0.977 $77.05 $5.69 +8.0%
Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? No 76 0.970 $74.09 $-0.29 -0.4%
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No 73 0.890 $65.18 $-0.29 -0.4%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 104 0.588 $61.00 $3.34 +5.8%
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? Yes 68 0.900 $60.75 $21.57 +55.1%