| Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? |
No |
86 |
0.599 |
$51.56 |
$-3.40 |
-6.2% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? |
Yes |
49 |
0.700 |
$34.47 |
$-6.52 |
-15.9% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31? |
No |
35 |
0.973 |
$34.04 |
$5.95 |
+21.2% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
59 |
0.545 |
$32.16 |
$23.41 |
+267.5% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? |
No |
38 |
0.825 |
$31.47 |
$4.81 |
+18.0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 5? |
No |
31 |
0.962 |
$30.05 |
$2.72 |
+10.0% |
| Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series? |
No |
30 |
0.966 |
$28.91 |
$-0.04 |
-0.1% |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? |
No |
70 |
0.405 |
$28.45 |
$6.14 |
+27.5% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? |
No |
40 |
0.635 |
$25.69 |
$10.41 |
+68.2% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? |
Yes |
79 |
0.325 |
$25.66 |
$15.64 |
+156.1% |
| Will 1w Team Win The International 2026? |
No |
26 |
0.930 |
$23.88 |
$-0.26 |
-1.1% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? |
Yes |
27 |
0.850 |
$22.95 |
$0.54 |
+2.4% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
24 |
0.915 |
$21.96 |
$10.03 |
+84.1% |
| Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? |
No |
30 |
0.725 |
$21.75 |
$16.05 |
+281.6% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
No |
24 |
0.895 |
$21.48 |
$10.20 |
+90.4% |
| Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? |
No |
45 |
0.440 |
$19.96 |
$6.24 |
+45.4% |
| Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.905 |
$18.01 |
$-0.30 |
-1.6% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
130 |
0.135 |
$17.55 |
$-3.25 |
-15.6% |
| Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee? |
No |
40 |
0.435 |
$17.40 |
$8.60 |
+97.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
18 |
0.915 |
$16.93 |
$9.16 |
+117.9% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
No |
18 |
0.925 |
$16.88 |
$1.10 |
+7.0% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? |
Yes |
40 |
0.420 |
$16.80 |
$4.70 |
+38.8% |
| Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election? |
No |
17 |
0.998 |
$16.70 |
$10.64 |
+175.7% |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? |
No |
30 |
0.540 |
$16.20 |
$6.30 |
+63.6% |
| Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? |
No |
18 |
0.905 |
$15.84 |
$-0.44 |
-2.7% |