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xjsljfi

0xa9b73b68f02f26238e2fa948fe0b7dbeb5bff43c
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$18
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$6
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
36%
63W / 113L · 176 open
Win Return (30d)
39%
136W / 212L · 4 open
Trades (30d)
352
across 191 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.19
avg win $7 · loss $3
Profit Factor
0.92
$194 won / $212 lost
Reward / Risk
2.21
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$25
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,263 · all-time $3,367,093

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 39.9% 1,494W/2,252L 1727 $16,033
🏛 Politics 55.9% 33W/26L 66 $1,022
🎬 Culture 57.1% 36W/27L 49 $721
₿ Crypto 43.8% 60W/77L 47 $510
⚽ Sports 38.5% 10W/16L 44 $532
🌤 Weather 67.1% 53W/26L 40 $314
💵 Economy 78.9% 45W/12L 26 $819
🤖 Tech 91.3% 63W/6L 10 $557
🔬 Science 1 $2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? No 86 0.654 $56.29 $1.33 +2.4%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? Yes 44 0.785 $34.54 $-2.36 -6.4%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31? No 35 0.973 $34.04 $5.95 +21.2%
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 59 0.545 $32.16 $23.41 +267.5%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? No 38 0.825 $31.47 $4.81 +18.0%
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series? No 30 0.966 $28.91 $-0.04 -0.1%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? No 29 0.954 $27.64 $1.37 +5.2%
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No 40 0.640 $25.89 $10.62 +69.5%
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? Yes 79 0.325 $25.66 $15.64 +156.1%
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? No 70 0.350 $24.59 $2.27 +10.2%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? Yes 27 0.850 $22.95 $0.54 +2.4%
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? No 30 0.755 $22.65 $16.95 +297.4%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 24 0.905 $21.72 $9.79 +82.1%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? No 24 0.885 $21.24 $9.96 +88.3%
Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? No 45 0.435 $19.74 $6.01 +43.8%
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? No 20 0.905 $18.01 $-0.30 -1.6%
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee? No 40 0.435 $17.40 $8.60 +97.7%
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes 130 0.130 $16.90 $-3.90 -18.7%
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No 18 0.925 $16.88 $1.10 +7.0%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? Yes 40 0.415 $16.60 $4.50 +37.2%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? Yes 18 0.895 $16.56 $8.79 +113.1%
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? No 30 0.530 $15.90 $6.00 +60.6%
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? No 18 0.890 $15.57 $-0.70 -4.3%
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on September 30, 2026? No 20 0.755 $15.08 $-2.70 -15.2%
Will North America Win the WSOP Main Event No 38 0.395 $15.01 $10.07 +203.8%