| Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? |
No |
86 |
0.652 |
$56.12 |
$1.16 |
+2.1% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? |
Yes |
44 |
0.785 |
$34.54 |
$-2.36 |
-6.4% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31? |
No |
35 |
0.974 |
$34.05 |
$5.97 |
+21.3% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
59 |
0.555 |
$32.74 |
$24.00 |
+274.2% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? |
No |
38 |
0.835 |
$31.86 |
$5.19 |
+19.5% |
| Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series? |
No |
30 |
0.966 |
$28.91 |
$-0.04 |
-0.1% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
29 |
0.960 |
$27.82 |
$1.55 |
+5.9% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? |
Yes |
79 |
0.330 |
$26.05 |
$16.03 |
+160.0% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? |
No |
40 |
0.635 |
$25.69 |
$10.41 |
+68.2% |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? |
No |
70 |
0.360 |
$25.29 |
$2.98 |
+13.3% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? |
Yes |
27 |
0.850 |
$22.95 |
$0.54 |
+2.4% |
| Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? |
No |
30 |
0.760 |
$22.80 |
$17.10 |
+300.0% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
24 |
0.915 |
$21.96 |
$10.03 |
+84.1% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
No |
24 |
0.890 |
$21.36 |
$10.08 |
+89.4% |
| Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? |
No |
45 |
0.435 |
$19.74 |
$6.01 |
+43.8% |
| Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next? |
No |
19 |
0.996 |
$18.91 |
$1.19 |
+6.7% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
22 |
0.835 |
$18.02 |
$1.06 |
+6.3% |
| Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.900 |
$17.91 |
$-0.40 |
-2.2% |
| Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee? |
No |
40 |
0.425 |
$17.00 |
$8.20 |
+93.2% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
130 |
0.130 |
$16.90 |
$-3.90 |
-18.7% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
No |
18 |
0.925 |
$16.88 |
$1.10 |
+7.0% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? |
Yes |
40 |
0.415 |
$16.60 |
$4.50 |
+37.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
18 |
0.885 |
$16.37 |
$8.60 |
+110.7% |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? |
No |
30 |
0.520 |
$15.60 |
$5.70 |
+57.6% |
| Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? |
No |
18 |
0.890 |
$15.57 |
$-0.70 |
-4.3% |