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Trader

0xa8ae9f8f2a92cb27a73791bb816e65071ca38eb7
PnL (30d)
−$2,023
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$533
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-9.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
60%
50W / 34L · 30 open
Win Return (30d)
54%
62W / 52L
Trades (30d)
114
across 50 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$59.50
avg win $107 · loss $226
Profit Factor
0.47
$1,813 won / $3,836 lost
Reward / Risk
0.47
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$866
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,854 · all-time $343,795

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 59.5% 50W/34L 50 $32,766
🏛 Politics 25.0% 1W/3L 6 $1,128
💵 Economy 25.0% 1W/3L 5 $985
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $200
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $13
🤖 Tech 1 $330
🎬 Culture 1 $330
🔬 Science 1 $330

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

17 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? No 3,595 0.945 $3,396.87 $600.78 +21.5%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No 1,000 0.635 $635.00 $-84.85 -11.8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? Yes 1,241 0.305 $378.44 $78.44 +26.1%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? No 326 0.988 $322.17 $22.17 +7.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 400 0.695 $277.96 $-26.04 -8.6%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? Yes 1,004 0.246 $247.46 $147.46 +147.5%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? No 829 0.275 $227.86 $-288.85 -55.9%
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode? No 1,608 0.130 $209.03 $-120.96 -36.7%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 800 0.209 $167.60 $-40.40 -19.4%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1,000 0.135 $134.50 $-7.50 -5.3%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 770 0.165 $126.97 $-144.43 -53.2%
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? Yes 210 0.565 $118.63 $49.71 +72.1%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 800 0.143 $114.80 $36.15 +46.0%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 178 0.515 $91.63 $15.12 +19.8%
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? Yes 1,158 0.024 $27.79 $-22.21 -44.4%
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? Yes 300 0.015 $4.65 $-25.35 -84.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 30 0.026 $0.79 $-1.31 -62.1%