Log in
Trader leaderboard/Trader

Trader

0xa8ae9f8f2a92cb27a73791bb816e65071ca38eb7
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$48
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$91
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-5.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
17%
1W / 5L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
29%
2W / 5L
Trades (30d)
7
across 4 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$16.03
avg win $18 · loss $33
Profit Factor
0.27
$18 won / $66 lost
Reward / Risk
0.54
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$13
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $7,774 · all-time $344,715

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 59.5% 50W/34L 50 $32,766
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/2L 4 $449
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/2L 4 $530
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $13
🤖 Tech 1 $330
🎬 Culture 1 $330
🔬 Science 1 $330

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

17 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? No 3,595 0.935 $3,360.92 $564.83 +20.2%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No 1,000 0.655 $655.00 $-64.85 -9.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? Yes 1,241 0.295 $366.04 $66.04 +22.0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 594 0.588 $349.17 $29.17 +9.1%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 400 0.695 $277.96 $-26.04 -8.6%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? No 829 0.280 $232.00 $-284.71 -55.1%
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode? No 1,608 0.130 $209.03 $-120.96 -36.7%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? Yes 1,004 0.205 $206.30 $106.30 +106.3%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 800 0.209 $167.60 $-40.40 -19.4%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1,000 0.135 $134.50 $-7.50 -5.3%
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? Yes 210 0.585 $122.85 $53.93 +78.2%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 770 0.155 $119.28 $-152.13 -56.1%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 800 0.143 $114.80 $36.15 +46.0%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 178 0.515 $91.63 $15.12 +19.8%
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? Yes 1,158 0.025 $29.41 $-20.59 -41.2%
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? Yes 300 0.017 $4.95 $-25.05 -83.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 30 0.025 $0.73 $-1.36 -65.0%